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    Applications for unemployment aid drop below 400K

    WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of people seeking unemployment benefits dropped last week to the lowest level since early April, a sign the job market may be healing after a recent slump.

    The Labor Department said Thursday that weekly applications fell 24,000 to a seasonally adjusted 398,000. That's the first time applications have fallen below 400,000 in 16 weeks.

    The four-week average, a less volatile measure, dropped to 413,750, the lowest since the week of April 23.

    Stocks rose after the report was released. But they closed lower for the day after uncertainty in Washington over the debt crisis led to a late-afternoon sell-off.

    Economists cautioned that the lower level of unemployment benefit applications only reflects one week of data and that doesn't necessarily signal a trend.

    The drop "is clearly good news," said Joshua Shapiro, an economist at MFR Inc. Still, "we would prefer to see further data before concluding that the earlier downtrend in claims is being re-established."

    Separately, the National Association of Realtors said more people signed contracts to buy homes in June for the second straight month. But the increase was not enough to signal a rebound in the weak housing market.

    The Realtors group said its index of sales agreements for previously occupied homes rose 2.4 percent in June to a reading of 90.9. The gain and an 8.2 percent increase in May did not make up for a huge drop-off in April when contract signings had fallen 11.3 percent.

    A reading of 100 is considered healthy by economists. The last time the index reached that level was in April 2010, the final month when buyers could qualify for a federal tax credit.

    The number of people seeking unemployment benefits remains higher than would be expected in a healthy economy. Consumers are holding back on spending because of stagnant wages, high unemployment, tighter credit, and depressed home prices. That's restraining economic growth.

    Unemployment applications had fallen in February to 375,000, a level that signals healthy job growth. But they then surged to an eight-month high of 478,000 in April and have declined only slowly since then.

    Some of the drop likely reflects seasonal volatility. Applications were elevated earlier this month partly because of temporary layoffs in the auto and other manufacturing industries, which are ending. Many auto companies close their factories in early July to prepare for new models.

    The total number of people receiving unemployment benefits, meanwhile, dipped to 3.7 million. That doesn't include millions of people receiving extended benefits under emergency programs enacted during the recession. All told, 7.65 million people received benefits in the week ended July 9, the latest data available.

    Analysts forecast that the economy grew in the April-June quarter by an annual rate of only 1.7 percent, the second straight quarter of anemic expansion. The government reports on second-quarter growth Friday.

    Hiring has slowed in recent months. The economy added only 18,000 net jobs in June. That's the fewest in nine months and below the average of 215,000 jobs per month that the economy added from February through April. The unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent last month, the highest level of the year.

    Manufacturing had been a bright spot in the economy since the recession ended two years ago. But it has stumbled in recent months. Orders for long-lasting manufactured goods fell 2.1 percent in June, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. It was the second drop in three months.

    Economists had expected orders to increase, noting that temporary constraints have eased. In particular, gas prices have come down slightly since peaking in the spring. But manufacturing output has also been slowed by the Japan earthquake, which has disrupted global supply chains and created a parts shortage in the auto and electronics industries.

    Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and many private economists expect growth to pick up in the second half of this year, predicting those temporary factors will fade. Gas prices, for example, averaged $3.70 a gallon on Wednesday, down from their peak of nearly $4 in early May.

    But some are growing more concerned that the economy's weakness will persist. The Fed said Wednesday that its survey of economic activity found growth slowed in eight of its 12 regions in June and early July. The report, known as the Beige Book, was the weakest this year.

    Many economists are becoming more pessimistic about the second half of this year. Goldman Sachs recently cut its estimate for growth in the July-September period to 2.5 percent, down from 3.25 percent. JPMorgan, meanwhile, reduced its estimate to 2.5 percent from 3 percent.

    Growth of about 2.5 percent is barely enough to reduce the unemployment rate. The economy would need to grow 5 percent for a whole year to bring down the rate by one percentage point.

    __

    Associated Press Economics Writer Martin Crutsinger contributed to this report.

     

    33 comments

    • Brian  •  10 mths ago
      This article is so misleading....over 23,000 people were laid off last week. Less people filing last week is by no means an indication that the jobless situation is getting better. Of course they would not be filing for unemployment benefits because they probably received severance packages. You can't collect unemployment until all severance is paid out. So these people and many more will be filing in the months to come.
      • Luv my pups 10 mths ago
        You're right Brian. I was laid off in Dec 2010 and lived off my severance and then my income tax refund before filing for unemployment in April figuring I would find a job.
      • American Historian 10 mths ago
        Why weren't the 3,000 workers NASA layed off the minute the Shuttle landed included in this count. 9,000 more to come just from NASA alone.
      • Christopher 9 mths ago
        You guys are exactly right. who would have thought regular people like us have more common sense than these so called "experts"? These numbers are such B.S. All that's going to happen in the coming months when the severances are paid is unemployment will go up again and they will be "shocked". Also people's unemployment benefits have ran out so they are not being included in the count.

        But hey why bother including all the facts when its easier to leave them out to make it seem like things seem better than they really are?
    • curt  •  10 mths ago
      A dip in layoffs does not mean jobs are being added, it just means they are running out of people to layoff. If they counted all the people who have run out of unemployment benefits or just stopped even trying to get a job, the unemployment rate is near 20%. Layoff 400,000 a week for 3 years and that comes out to nearly a fifth of the population.
    • Cuddles  •  10 mths ago
      THE DROP IN UNEMPLYMENT BENIFITS IS NOT MORE JOBS, JUST PEOPLE RAN OUT OF BENIFITS... GET REAL PEOPLE
    • jerryr  •  10 mths ago
      keep spinning the facts to make things look peachy. What about the people who are now starting to lose their unemployment checks? How do they count those into the numbers? People know how things really are and will be sure to remind all the liars in the media and in the white house come next november. Would someone have the balls to tell the truth? or all they all afraid of prophet Obama and his mob?
    • David  •  10 mths ago
      I remember while Bush was in office one particular month only 250,000 new jobs were created and Pelosi called it anemic. So what in He#L does she call 18,000 new jobs created?
    • Gordon  •  10 mths ago
      this is such #$%$ The real reson Applications for benifits have dropped is because people have exhausted thier benefits and used uo thier extensions.
      • draggons lair 10 mths ago
        i 've exhausted all mine n im n michigan so yea wheres the jobs at n i live in the thumb area of michigan yea talk about nooooooooo jobs n try to support 2 children ages 13 yrs old n a 10 yr old with no cash ne ideas would b helpfull hopefully theres n extension yea right.....
    • Luv my pups  •  10 mths ago
      Yeah, unemployment dropped because everyone's benefits came to an end so they are all down at the "Department of Economic Security" (aka Welfare) applying for "nutritional assistance" like me. There is no medical coverage for anyone new unless you have a dependent child. I have worked since I was 12 and am now almost 60. I can't believe how bad things have gotten in this country. I went in the hospital 2 weeks ago and now with $1032 a month income I am expected to pay for the bill myself. WalMart etc. have declined hiring me and the field I am in (medical billing) now wants people to double up and do coding also so since i don't have the coding experience they will not hire me. So I guess it is time to go live in a cave and wait for the rest of the middle class to fail and finally do something about this country sending all of our jobs overseas.
      • cal 10 mths ago
        Could'nt of said it better myself..........
    • A Yahoo! User  •  10 mths ago
      Meaning 400k people have Run Out Of UE Benifits !
    • Woodenickel  •  10 mths ago
      It will be revised up next week. Bet on it.
    • CarolR  •  10 mths ago
      You cannot, and should not, judge the "healing of the job market" on how many people have filed for unemployment benefits. Filing for unemployment benefits also included the people nicknamed the "99-ers" The majority of those people have exhausted all of their claims between November 2010 and April 2011, with no jobs available to them. More are losing their availability to file claims each month.
      I beg the media to stop falling prey to this archaric stupidity. And I beg the people reading this drivel to think for themselves.
      Unemployment is higher than they are reporting, because they are basing it stricly on how many people are getting unemployment benefits. The numbers do not refect those who have exhausted their benefits and are still unable to find work. I've read a few different reports by analysts that believe at least 1/3 of the people without work are no longer receiving unemployment benefits. At those reports were back in January, and I'm sure now it is more like at least 1/2 of the people unemployed have exhaused their unemployment benefits with no jobs available.
    • SIMON SAYS  •  10 mths ago
      MAN ! They deleted at least 300 negative comments under this article. Sorry we're not as stupid as they think.
    • Old Dog Lady  •  10 mths ago
      My daughter received her last UI check a week ago, I wonder how they counted her. Still no job but no benefits.
    • Paul e  •  10 mths ago
      STATISTICS CAN BE USED ANY WAY THAT YOU WANT. WHY NOT SHOW A BAR GRAPH SHOWING JOB 'SALARIES' AND BREAK DOWN BY GEOGRAPHIC AREAS, IN OTHER WORDS PRINT REAL TRUTHS AND NOT PROPAGANDA!!!
    • NaomiE  •  10 mths ago
      The American people are not stupid. Would a qualified journalist please report on the actual amount of people unemployed and not the amount of people collecting unemployment. People that are initially unemployed are provided a maximum of 9 months of unemployment. After the 9 month period, these people are then no longer considered unemployed. The media continually insists that the unemployment rate is between 8 to 10 percent, while the truth is that the amount of Americans that are without a job is actually closer to 20 percent. To reiterate other like-minded posts, tell the truth! We are not stupid!
    • Frustrated  •  10 mths ago
      The Soviet Union Claimed a 0% unemployment rate before they collasped also.
    • J Giles  •  10 mths ago
      These drops have been occurring all year...it means nothing! Next week they will increase again just as they have since January. Honestly people...don`t buy in to their fake numbers. They have ways of masking things look better then they are
    • anonymous2  •  10 mths ago
      oh ! only last week it was bad and in one week economy expanded miraculously :)

      the media has really become a soap opera.
    • Cato  •  10 mths ago
      All you unemployed people keep voting for Dems, that will save ya.
    • Eric  •  10 mths ago
      Only 398,000 people lost their job last week? Whoopie! Let's throw a party. That only averages out to 20.7 million jobs lost in a year. Man, that Owebama guy really knows what he's doing. Nice leftward spin, AP/Yahoo.
    • A Yahoo! User  •  10 mths ago
      Its a lie. They are not counting the unemployed troops and , many others. Don't let the govt fool you, our unemployment is over 20% right now and it isn't going to get any better.
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