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    The Week

    After the bailout: Is Greece still doomed?

    The debt-laden nation secures a whopping $170 billion lifeline — but few Greeks are breaking out the champagne

    This week, the so-called troika of lenders — the European Union, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) — agreed to extend another massive aid package to debt-plagued Greece, its second since 2010. The $170 billion bailout comes just in time, forestalling Greece's default on a $19 billion debt payment due in March. Many European leaders are breathing a sigh of relief, since a default could have led to chaos in financial markets and the dissolution of the euro currency bloc. But they aren't exactly doing cartwheels in the streets either, because Greece continues to face daunting, perhaps insurmountable challenges. Even with this latest bailout, are Greece's financial problems beyond repair?

    Yes. Greece is doomed: The bailout is predicated on "fairy-tale" projections, says Derek Thompson at The Atlantic. The troika forecasts that Greece's debt-to-GDP ratio will stabilize at 120 percent by 2020 — a "fantasy" that absurdly assumes that Greece's crippling recession "will stop accelerating sometime starting… yesterday." With a new round of harsh austerity measures setting in, the Greek economy will only contract further, putting Greece on track to record "one of the worst recessions for a developed country in modern history." Even with this latest bailout, Greece won't be able to pay its debts under that kind of pressure. The troika's plan is "unrealistic and doomed to fail."
    "Greece is still doomed: why the new bailout is a fantasy"

    Maybe. But the bailout at least buys time: The bailout isn't meant to solve all of Greece's debt problems, says Ezra Klein at The Washington Post. It simply prevents immediate catastrophe, and should allow Europe to "muddle along" for a few more years. "Perhaps, by then, the global recovery will be stronger than we had thought, or the rest of Europe will be in a stronger position to help push Greece over the finish line." Until then, "doomsday just keeps getting delayed." Maybe that's enough for now.
    "Muddling along in Europe"

    Greeks won't take this lying down: With no bright spots on the economic horizon, "the Greek people will suffer and Greece itself will go through a time of testing not seen since the unrest following World War II," says Rick Moran at American Thinker. Furthermore, the troika is taking unprecedented control over Greece's finances, all but demanding that Greece relinquish its "economic sovereignty." With new elections scheduled for April, don't be surprised if voters "throw out the entire government" in exchange for one that rejects the bailout deal altogether.
    "Greek bailout a done deal"

    SEE MORE: Will debt downgrades doom the eurozone recovery?

    View this article on TheWeek.com Get 4 Free Issues of The Week

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    25 comments

    • Dodge  •  3 mths ago
      Greece has only 1 way out. Drop out of the EU and go back to the Dracma. The currency will immediately be devalued. The Greek people will continue to receive their pay and buy local goods using the dracma. All imports will be more expensive. All export will be cheaper, spurring growth. Tourism will be cheaper and therefore increase. It is the ONLY way for Greece to recover.
      • mpls 3 mths ago
        It may well happen that Greece dumps the Euro but the problem is this - would sell your house to a Greek with a new Drachma knowing full well that the printing presses are running like crazy? No one will do business in Drachma. Greece will have to barter for years.
    • Capnden  •  Knoxville, Tennessee  •  3 mths ago
      Greece should default just like Iceland did. The financiers get compensated for risky loans by getting higher returns, they should expect some to fail that's why they get the high returns. Why should the Greek people suffer for the bad judgement of the financiers. Iceland is pulling out of trouble, Ireland is getting worse. There is no doubt that default would be better for the Greek people.
    • Greek Cigar™  •  Athens, Greece  •  3 mths ago
      I can't understand how if a small country like mine defaults will leed to chaos in financial markets and the dissolution of the euro currency bloc. We are only the 5% of EU economy. Am I missing something here ? Oh yes, I do smell : bankers.
      • Melissa 3 mths ago
        I smell weed in that cigar.
      • 3 3 mths ago
        because what happens in greece is the road plan for larger economies like spain, italy and portugal.
      • Irish5 3 mths ago
        It's about big investors who made bad bets on the 2008 world economy with other peoples' money, getting a bail out package from their banking buddies so they don't lose anything except pride. Any little people involved - bend over!
    • John  •  Tucson, Arizona  •  3 mths ago
      One day soon America will wake up and find itself in the same situation, Oops, I guess it already has.
    • Buffaolsoldier  •  Pleasanton, California  •  3 mths ago
      Is Greece still doomed? Yes as is the rest of the world as we know it. Every economy is hurting. Some more than others this is like watching dominos fall is slow motion. When one falls and it doesnot matter who it is. Greece, Irland, Portugal, Italy, Spain the next one will be knocked down. Once the economic region collapses. The same thing that happened with countries will happen to regions. The whole world will be effected time to use common sense live with in your means retire as much personal debt as possible. And remember all you really need is food, clothing and shelter and for some medication. This is the hand writting on the wall take heed. The key to wealth is learning to be happy with what you have.
    • James  •  Boston, Massachusetts  •  3 mths ago
      Sadly, the home of democracy has hardened into a socialist state. Too many people with hands in the public till. Funny how our sitting President espouses an American economy more like Europe's... If it doesn't work there...it can't work here.
    • Gnslngr  •  3 mths ago
      What a surprise that Ezra K., like Paul K., believes that there is nothing wrong with adding astronomical debt by throwing more money at the problem until a "recovery" rolls around. Any recovery that would be capable of restoring the US, or Greece, to their former largesse is years away, if ever, yet they just keep spendiing, and spending, and spending...
    • Jerry  •  Lowman, New York  •  3 mths ago
      the greek people will throw out the whole govt. in the spring elections and the new one will refuse to go along with the imposed measures. then what can the rest of the EU do, take the loss or what, invade? but the bankere will have most of their money by then.
    • Conny  •  3 mths ago
      Just wait what will happen when all the ex-SU countries that they added to the EU go the same route!
    • Killer B  •  3 mths ago
      I like waffles.
    • Danny  •  3 mths ago
      Yep, more money down the crapper.....
    • ken  •  Tulsa, Oklahoma  •  3 mths ago
      Pimps get their girls addicted to dope. The troika is transferring wealth from those who can't do anything about it to those who won't do anything about it. Why do you think they call it dope?
    • 3  •  Charleston, West Virginia  •  3 mths ago
      just great. banks buying more time to figure out more ways to screw greece.
    • Ballbusta  •  Intercourse, Pennsylvania  •  3 mths ago
      Multilateral
      Organization of
      Banks.

      They gave Greece an offer they couldn't refuse.
    • Liberal Fascist  •  Chicago, Illinois  •  3 mths ago
      Wait until the US debt collapses. The US has $211 trillion in unfunded liabilities and is continuing to grow as Obama and the Democrats attempt to buy more votes in November.
      • David 3 mths ago
        3 out of 8 thumbs down. so about 30% of people have no idea about the seriousness of american debt. maybe these idiots will undrstand this. reported debt of 15 trillion, give or take a trillion, at 2% average loan rate is 300 billion. so that is 300 billion that is doing nothing, not building a road, educating children, not fixing dangerous bridges, etc. . way to hate on your children. actually it is love for yourself first (selfishness) while proclaming you love your kids.
      • Robert 3 mths ago
        The international economy is a house of cards. Inevitably if Greece goes we all
        go. We cannot be sustained with nothing and that is all we've got!
      • Conny 3 mths ago
        David may be right. Most of the loans probably went straight into the pockets of Haliburton & Co. for the unfunded wars of previous administrations.
    • Larry Dickson  •  San Diego, California  •  3 mths ago
      Read the article about how the debts of all the austerity countries are increasing. Austerity is stupid. They are just prolonging the agony, leading to a lost generation. OUTLAW SOVEREIGN DEBT!
    • Melissa  •  3 mths ago
      Yes they are just like Obamas America will be. Hope and change rotflmao!
    • bil  •  3 mths ago
      Unless the Greeks are willing to cut back an excessively large government workforce they will find it impossible to collect enough taxes to pay them.
      • 3 3 mths ago
        that won't be enough. the mathematics don't work. slavery, even if self induced has never ended through a peaceful process. an outright revolution and war with unfortunate deaths will be the cost.
      • Jacob Hines 3 mths ago
        "slavery, even if self induced has never ended through a peaceful process."

        No. The UK ended slavery in the empire by a vote in parliament.
    • Jim P  •  Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania  •  3 mths ago
      Yes, Greece is still doomed. They have run out of other peoples' money.
    • THETIMEISNOW  •  Miami, Florida  •  3 mths ago
      We will swap wally-world and sarah palin for greece-plus a trade future consideration...!