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    Bernanke urges caution in sharp deficit cutting

    WASHINGTON (AP) — Ben Bernanke is urging lawmakers to balance their desire to cut deficits with policies that could help boost the weak economy in the short run.

    Bernanke told the House Budget Committee that he recognizes that huge budget deficits represent a serious threat to the economy.

    "Even as fiscal policymakers address the urgent issue of fiscal sustainability, they should take care not to unnecessarily impede the current economic recovery," Bernanke said. "Fortunately, the two goals ... are fully compatible."

    The Federal Reserve chairman is testifying a week after the Fed signaled that a full recovery could take at least three more years. As a result, the Fed said it doesn't plan to raise its benchmark interest rate from a record low before late 2014 at the earliest.

    The hearing began on a contentious note. Chairman Paul Ryan, a Republican from Wisconsin, said the Fed's policies were adding to uncertainty and raising risks of higher inflation down the road.

    Ryan was critical of the Fed's decision last week to announce that it hoped to hold interest rates at record low levels for three more years.

    "I think this policy runs the great risk of fueling asset bubbles, destabilizing prices and eventually eroding the value of the dollar," Ryan told Bernanke. "The prospect of all three is adding to uncertainty and holding our economy back."

    Bernanke is also appearing two days after the Congressional Budget Office estimated that the deficit will top $1 trillion for a fourth straight year and could stay around that level for years.

    The two leaders offered contrasting views last summer over how to handle high budget deficits. Bernanke warned Republicans that threatening to block a pending increase in the nation's borrowing limit could hurt the economy. He said the debt ceiling was the "wrong tool" for trying to push federal spending cuts through Congress.

    Ryan countered at the time that using the debt-ceiling vote as leverage to win meaningful deficit reductions was a valid approach.

    This time, Bernanke will likely point to some economic improvements. Factories are making more goods. Americans are buying more cars. The unemployment rate is near its lowest level in nearly three years. And employers have produced six straight months of solid hiring.

    Still, growth was only modest in the final three months of last year. And consumers will likely slow their spending if hiring and pay increases don't strengthen.

    A key reason the deficit has surged in the past four years is that the government collected less tax revenue. In part, that's because the economy has yet to regain the millions of jobs lost during the Great Recession.

    And the government has had to spend more on emergency unemployment benefits and efforts to boost growth, such as the Social Security tax cut that will expire in February unless Congress extends it.

    The Fed has also taken extraordinary measures during and after the recession to try to help the economy recover. In June, it completed its second round of bond buying.

    At a news conference after last week's Fed meeting, Bernanke said a third round of bond buying might be necessary. Some economists think the Fed could announce more bond buying as soon as its next meeting in March.

     

    53 comments

    • itiswhatitis  •  3 mths ago
      A Keynesian government can choose to lower interest rates in order to prop up its stock market and GDP, or raise interest rates in order to prop up its currency's value and thus lower prices on store shelves, but cannot prop up both simultaneously, or if stimulus money is misspent, the result may even be a lower GDP simultaneous with a reduction in currency value and increase in inflation: stagflation.

      "Keynes, with his lump, aggregate thinking, is opposed to restoring employment or equilibrium by small, gradual, piecemeal adjustments. we must achieve the same result by inflating the money supply and raising the price level, so everybody’s real wages are slashed by the same percentage. The Keynesian remedy, in short, is like changing the lock to avoid changing to the right key, or like adjusting the piano to the stool instead of the stool to the piano.

      Keynes’s macroeconomic approach also concealed the fact that beneath the aggregate rising price level, inflation distorts many of the relative price relationships, including the rate of interest. This inevitably brings about misdirection of resources, capital, and labor across different sectors of the market that will eventually require a reshuffling of supply and demand once the inflation ends. Thus the inflationary “cure” for unemployment brings in its wake an eventual new bout of unemployment when workers have to shift jobs and readjust their wage demands in the post-inflationary period.

      Keynes clearly believed “that there exists a class of people who are completely informed, rational, balanced, wise, who have means of knowing at all times exactly how much investment is needed and in exactly what amounts it should be allocated to exactly which industries and projects, and that these managers are above corruption and above any interest in the outcome of the next election.”
      Hazlitt
      • Jorge A 3 mths ago
        Keynes was obviuosly a crack-pot, or had his own hidden agenda. You pick.
    • rico  •  3 mths ago
      "Ryan countered at the time that using the debt-ceiling vote as leverage to win meaningful deficit reductions was a valid approach."

      Republicanism summed up in a nutshell, ruin the nation;s credit rating in the long term to gain damage and weaken the economic recovery in the short term. Republicans no matter what they say do not feel your pain and would be thrilled to see the economy go down between now and November purely for political gamesmanship. Republicans hate working Americans, no other explanation and hate America. Patriots !=republicans.
      Before some say that isn't true, consider the Bush administration betraying an active CIA NOC for purely political reasons, to get at her husband for telling the truth about the Iraq (before it cost us $1Trilllion). Republicans hate America based on their actions,
    • James Chirico  •  New York, New York  •  3 mths ago
      These so called economic experts are living in some kind of wonderland. They both say consumer demand and the middle class incomes should move up to help, then push policies that do the opposite. There is no lack of investment supply, there is a lack of working class disposable dollars. Quantitative easing is just printing 9 dollars for every one the Fed. puts up pumping equity into financial markets devaluing the dollar. A devalued dollar makes stagnant working class income worth less, especially when food, medical, education, fuel cost inflation far outstrips salary inflation. Rep. Paul's budget takes trillions from the have nots, gives it to the haves shifting more income to the top, less money spent into the economy. People spend less into the economy, less is their overall for Joe the plumber to get a new customer with trickle down failed policies. Ryan's budget moving trillions only cuts the debt by 150 billion over a decade. His private insurance for seniors to replace government medicare payments does not exist in the world. Only supplements to government plans for seniors exist not full coverage.
    • dredd  •  Ferndale, Washington  •  3 mths ago
      Nothing here. Just a bunch of nitwits spouting off about something they nothing about.lol
    • Matt C.  •  3 mths ago
      Bernanke is taking lesson from the Chinese, who tried to tighten things too much and almost got itself a hard landing. They reversed course and now has a breather. Ben is smart in not letting the US become Germany.
      • Marshall 3 mths ago
        Why would Bernanke study the Chinese form of government, and then allow it to affect his performance in the USA?
      • Matt C. 3 mths ago
        Chinese screwed up by tightening too much and had to accept their mistake by letting loose of liquidity again to save businesses... But damage was done.
      • Richarda 3 mths ago
        Please note that I am writing from Beijing, so I can speak from experience. China has a huge housing bubble, and it is only a matter of time before it implodes, much like it happened in the US back in 2007-2008.
        What is more worrisome is that the Chinese goverment owns a lot of these overvalued properties. To keep their economy stable during a downturn, they may start calling in loans.
    • A.B. B  •  3 mths ago
      Yeah, he doesn't want his "cut" cut...
    • MichaelB  •  3 mths ago
      Cut spending and/or increase taxes
      No more debt
    • Greg  •  3 mths ago
      #$%$
    • This Independent says  •  3 mths ago
      Is Bernanke nuts? He wants to 'wait out' the economy's recovery for 3 years? It will only get worse.
      • Keith 3 mths ago
        He's saying that if the govt. cuts spending too hard and too fast, a lot of jobs will go lost.
      • This Independent says 3 mths ago
        Gotta start cutting. Nothing is being done now except more spending, more debt.
    • Truth Trooper  •  Newnan, Georgia  •  3 mths ago
      If Bernanke had a clue what he thinks might matter
      • Olaf 3 mths ago
        If you are so clueful, why wouldn't you apply for his previous job, chair of the Department of Economics at Princeton U?
      • Coupe DeVille 3 mths ago
        The job has already been filled. Sorry wrong snswer, thank you for playing! Next contestant please!
      • Nels 3 mths ago
        Barack Hussein Obama and his distinguished colleagues borrow 40 cents for every dollar they spend!! .... Wonder why Obama has a debt problem??? ... Try doing that with your household budget and see how long you last.
    • Johnny  •  3 mths ago
      Right now the Federal Reserve is allowing major banks like Chase, Morgan Stanley, B of A and Wells Fargo to borrow money at 0.25% or less then lend it back to the US Treasury at approximately 3% and make the interest on it. This is a pure give away of our tax dollars and the Fed needs to be stopped! Bernanke should be in an unemployment line with Treasury Sec Tim Geitner!... and Obama in November.
      • GB 3 mths ago
        At the banks, only mortgage interest is low. Operating loans are as expensive as they ever were. The banks are laughing all the way to the bank.
    • The Anti-Statist  •  3 mths ago
      Sure, Bernancke doesn't want the deficit reduced too much. He and his private banking buddies that make up the Federal Reserve, enrich themselves off the interest on deficit debt. Yeah, they create money out of thin air using their printing presses, loan it to the corrupt politicians in D.C. and collect interest on it.
    • Oscar  •  Houston, Texas  •  3 mths ago
      Of course he wouldn't want to cut too much The Fed is the easiest dept to eliminate. The silliness is the American public that believes that the mere printing of a piece of paper creates aggregate wealth to the economy. rather than tangible assets and expertise operating in a free market, free of artificial impediments such as too many govt regulations.
    • D.  •  3 mths ago
      Ryan makes a decent arguement, except for one thing...Now he's trying to back out of the cuts agreed on during the last debt ceiling debate.
    • gifted1  •  Newark, New Jersey  •  3 mths ago
      Repubs and Dems both want smaller government, smaller deficit, and re-order of priorities for the country....

      The difference is in -- the timing and in the priorities.....
    • Jerry  •  San Diego, California  •  3 mths ago
      Let us remove the Federal Reserve Act. It is time to eliminate the Private Company known as the Federal Reserve. Let us give the Money Making ability back to the Congress and not a private company.
    • A Yahoo! User  •  3 mths ago
      Unlike most of the Fox-brainwashed commenters here, Bernanke is hamstrung by his posession of actual knowledge of history and economic theory. The GOP demands for a balanced budget immediately are fundamentally the same policies that turned a severe recession into the Great Depression. Of course, these demands are purely political (they didn't give a whit about the defecit until the day after Obama was inagurated) but the results would be no less catastrophic.
    • Tim  •  3 mths ago
      I now honestly believe that Bernanke hasn't even the slightest idea about what he's doing.
    • Tom Triumph  •  3 mths ago
      Spoken by a man with no clue how to solve the actual debt crisis. His job is to generate capital for Congress to spend, not to rationalize the consequences.
    • madcap rex  •  Los Angeles, California  •  3 mths ago
      Bernanke is the chairman of the Federal Reserve central bank. If real cuts are made that would mean less borrowing from the Federal Reserve....which means less profit. Thats like putting a fox to guard the chicken coop.
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