Our Country

ACM Preview: Who Will Win The ACM Awards & Why

Our Country

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Florida Georgia Line and Luke Bryan, who have the #1 song on Billboard's Hot Country Songs chart for the third straight week with "This Is How We Roll," are likely to be the big winners at the Academy of Country Music Awards on Sunday. Both artists are likely to take home three awards. (In addition, Bryan is co-hosting the show with Blake Shelton.)

Here are all the categories that will presented on Sunday's telecast. I show the nominees, who won in that category at the ACM Awards last year, who won in that category at the rival Country Music Assn. Awards on Nov. 6, who had the best-seller of the nominees according to Nielsen SoundScan, and finally who I think will win.

(In categories were no recording is specified, I looked at the sales of the artist's most recent studio album.)

You may look this same data and come to a different conclusion about who is likely to win. (And you may well be right!) It's always hard to predict the winners at award shows. But it's always fun. Play along and see where you agree and disagree.

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Entertainer of the Year Presented By Ram

Nominees: Luke Bryan, Miranda Lambert, Blake Shelton, George Strait, Taylor Swift

Last year's winner: Bryan

CMA winner: Strait

Best-selling album: Swift (by a mile)

Bet on: Bryan

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Album of the Year

Nominees: Blake Shelton's "Based On A True Story…," Luke Bryan's "Crash My Party," Florida Georgia Line's "Here's To The Good Times," Kacey Musgraves' "Same Trailer Different Park," Tim McGraw's "Two Lanes Of Freedom"

Last year's winner: Eric Church's "Chief"

CMA winner: Shelton

Best-seller: Bryan, narrowly over Florida Georgia Line

Bet on: Bryan

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Single Record of the Year

Nominees: "Cruise" by Florida Georgia Line, "Highway Don't Care" by Tim McGraw featuring Taylor Swift & Keith Urban, "I Drive Your Truck" by Lee Brice, "Mama's Broken Heart" by Miranda Lambert, "Wagon Wheel" by Darius Rucker featuring Lady Antebellum.

Last year's winner: Miranda Lambert's "Over You"

CMA winner: Florida Georgia Line

Best-seller: Florida Georgia Line ("Cruise" is the best-selling country song in digital history.)

Bet on: Florida Georgia Line

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Song of the Year

Nominees: "Every Storm (Runs Out Of Rain)" (Gary Allan) by Allan, Hillary Lindsey, Matthew Warren; "I Drive Your Truck" (Lee Brice) by Jessi Alexander, Connie Harrington, Jimmy Yeary; "Mama's Broken Heart" (Miranda Lambert) by Brandy Clark, Shane McAnally, Kacey Musgraves; "Mine Would Be You" (Blake Shelton) by Jessi Alexander, Connie Harrington, Deric Ruttan; "Wagon Wheel" (Darius Rucker featuring Lady Antebellum) by Bob Dylan, Ketch Secor

Last year's winner: "Over You" (Miranda Lambert) by Lambert, Blake Shelton

CMA winner: "I Drive Your Truck"

Best seller: "Wagon Wheel"

Bet on: "Wagon Wheel"

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Male Vocalist of the Year

Nominees: Jason Aldean, Lee Brice, Luke Bryan, Blake Shelton, Keith Urban

Last year's winner: Aldean

CMA winner: Shelton

Best-selling album: Bryan, narrowly over Aldean

Bet on: Bryan

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Female Vocalist of the Year

Nominees: Sheryl Crow, Miranda Lambert, Kacey Musgraves, Taylor Swift, Carrie Underwood

Last year's winner: Lambert

CMA winner: Lambert

Best-selling album: Swift

Bet on: Lambert

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Vocal Group of the Year

Nominees: Eli Young Band, Lady Antebellum, Little Big Town, The Band Perry, Zac Brown Band

Last year's winner: Little Big Town

CMA winner: Little Big Town

Best-selling album: Little Big Town, narrowly over Zac Brown Band

Bet on: Little Big Town

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Vocal Duo of the Year

Nominees: Big & Rich, Dan + Shay, Florida Georgia Line, Love and Theft, Thompson Square

Last year's winner: Thompson Square

CMA winner: Florida Georgia Line

Best-selling album: Florida Georgia Line

Bet on: Florida Georgia Line

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New Artist of the Year Presented by Kohl's

Nominees: Brett Eldredge, Justin Moore, Kip Moore

Last year's winner: Florida Georgia Line

CMA winner: Kacey Musgraves

Best-selling album: Kip Moore

Bet on: Kip Moore

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Video of the Year

Nominees: "Better Dig Two" by The Band Perry; "Blowin' Smoke" by Kacey Musgraves; "Highway Don't Care" by Tim McGraw featuring Taylor Swift & Keith Urban; "I Drive Your Truck" by Lee Brice; "Mama's Broken Heart" by Miranda Lambert; "Two Black Cadillacs" by Carrie Underwood

Last year's winner: "Tornado" by Little Big Town

CMA winner: "Highway Don't Care"

Best seller: "Highway Don't Care"

Bet on: "Highway Don't Care"

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Vocal Event of the Year

Nominees: "Boys 'Round Here" by Blake Shelton featuring Pistol Annies & Friends; "Cruise" (remix) by Florida Georgia Line featuring Nelly; "Highway Don't Care" by Tim McGraw featuring Taylor Swift & Keith Urban; "Wagon Wheel" by Darius Rucker featuring Lady Antebellum; "We Were Us" by Keith Urban and Miranda Lambert

Last year's winner: "The Only Way I Know" by Jason Aldean, Luke Bryan & Eric Church

CMA winner: "Highway Don't Care"

Best-seller: "Cruise"

Bet on: "Cruise"

Get more Academy of Country Music Awards news at ACMAwards.com

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