Fifty-six percent of of Americans say President Barack Obama will win re-election, the Gallup polling organization said Tuesday, drily calling that prediction "perhaps a slightly more optimistic assessment than is currently warranted."
Thirty-six percent say presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney will be the one taking the oath of office in January.
Party affiliation shapes whether Americans are bullish or bearish on the odds of another term for Obama: 81 percent of Democrats but just 24 percent of Republicans predict he'll pull it off. But 58 percent of Independents agreed, compared to just 31 percent who said Romney would get the keys to the White House.
Gallup's latest daily tracking poll found the incumbent and the challenger in a dead heat, with Obama up a statistically meaningless 46 percent to 45 percent over Romney.
"It may be that Americans recognize the advantages Obama has as the incumbent and that historically, presidents seeking re-election usually win," according toRead More »from Obama will win in November, Americans predict