The Ticket

Budget hawk: A closer look at the Ryan plan

Liz Goodwin
The Ticket

View photo

.

Rep. Paul Ryan greets the crowd after Gov. Romney introduced him as his running mate Saturday. (Win McNamee/Getty …

Mitt Romney's budget hawk running mate Paul Ryan made his name in Congress by releasing a bold, government-slashing budget proposal that he calls 'The Path to Prosperity." It was first proposed for fiscal year 2012. Democrats have criticized Ryan's budget as a "Darwinian" remaking of the federal government, which would reward the rich and corporations with lower tax rates while cutting safety-net programs like Medicaid by hundreds of billions of dollars. But Ryan and his many supporters say he is one of the few people in Washington willing to state the obvious yet politically risky fact that the nation's entitlement programs aren't sustainable and need to be saved.

President Barack Obama's campaign released a statement Saturday saying Ryan's plan "would end Medicare as we know it by turning it into a voucher system, shifting thousands of dollars in health-care costs to seniors." The attack shows Democrats will use Ryan's budget proposals as a weapon against Romney. But will it work on voters?

Below, we've laid out the five key points from Ryan's "Pathway to Prosperity" budget so that you can judge for yourself.

1. Ryan's budget plan would cut $5.8 trillion over 10 years from projected federal spending and reduce the deficit by $4.4 trillion over the same period. Discretionary spending, which includes programs like food stamps, would see more than $900 billion in reductions. The budget also calls for the repeal of Obama's health care reform law, which supporters say would save billions in federal subsidies that will be given to lower-income people to buy insurance.

2. The most contentious part of Ryan's proposed budget is the changes to Medicare, the nation's insurance plan for retirees and a political third rail. Ryan's plan would eventually transform Medicare into defined payments that seniors could use to buy private insurance or a government plan on an insurance exchange. There would be no limits to the out-of-pocket costs seniors could pay in this program, but Ryan assumes that the increased competition between Medicare and private plans would bring down overall costs. The amount of money seniors get to buy insurance would grow at a slightly higher rate than GDP each year. (The Congressional Budget Office says this would save the government money, but also significantly increase the amount seniors would eventually have to pay for their own insurance.) The eligibility age would gradually rise to 67, from 65. Democrats say this would transform Medicare into a "voucher program" that may leave seniors with big prescription bills and other medical costs, and the Obama campaign is already using this against Romney and Ryan. If Obama can convince seniors--a powerful voting bloc that turns out at the polls--that Ryan would worsen or weaken Medicare, it could mean bad news for their campaign. But it's important to note that Ryan's proposed changes would go into effect for the next generation of seniors, not this one.

3. Ryan would cut the top federal income tax rate for individuals and corporations to 25 percent from 35 percent. The budget says some tax breaks and loopholes would be eliminated to help offset the revenue loss.

4. Ryan would cut Medicaid, the insurance program for some low-income people, by $735 billion over 10 years, and hand the program back to the states to administer with more freedom. The CBO writes that states would most likely have to "reduce payments to providers, curtail eligibility for Medicaid, provide less extensive coverage to beneficiaries, or pay more themselves than would be the case under current law."

5. The budget spares Social Security and defense spending, which are left at current levels. Ryan's decision to back off Social Security is interesting, since he put forward proposals to privatize the program around the same time that President George W. Bush tried to sell the nation on a similar proposal. (Social Security does not face the same solvency challenges as Medicare and Medicaid, and is not projected to grow much as a percentage of GDP over the next 20 years, according to the CBO.)

Correction: An earlier version of this article contained a typo.

View Comments (4493)