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    Disasters in US: An extreme and exhausting year

    WASHINGTON (AP) — Nature is pummeling the United States this year with extremes.

    Unprecedented triple-digit heat and devastating drought. Deadly tornadoes leveling towns. Massive rivers overflowing. A billion-dollar blizzard. And now, unusual hurricane-caused flooding in Vermont.

    If what's falling from the sky isn't enough, the ground shook in places that normally seem stable: Colorado and the entire East Coast. On Friday, a strong quake triggered brief tsunami warnings in Alaska. Arizona and New Mexico have broken records for wildfires.

    Total weather losses top $35 billion, and that's not counting Hurricane Irene, according to the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration. There have been more than 700 U.S. disaster and weather deaths, most from the tornado outbreaks this spring.

    Last year, the world seemed to go wild with natural disasters in the deadliest year in a generation. But 2010 was bad globally, and the United States mostly was spared.

    This year, while there have been devastating events elsewhere, such as the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, Australia's flooding and a drought in Africa, it's our turn to get smacked. Repeatedly.

    "I'm hoping for a break. I'm tired of working this hard. This is ridiculous," said Jeff Masters, a meteorologist who runs Weather Underground, a meteorology service that tracks strange and extreme weather. "I'm not used to seeing all these extremes all at once in one year."

    The U.S. has had a record 10 weather catastrophes costing more than a billion dollars: five separate tornado outbreaks, two different major river floods in the Upper Midwest and the Mississippi River, drought in the Southwest and a blizzard that crippled the Midwest and Northeast, and Irene.

    What's happening, say experts, is mostly random chance or bad luck. But there is something more to it, many of them say. Man-made global warming is increasing the odds of getting a bad roll of the dice.

    Sometimes the luck seemed downright freakish.

    The East Coast got a double-whammy in one week with a magnitude 5.8 earthquake followed by a drenching from Irene. If one place felt more besieged than others, it was tiny Mineral, Va., the epicenter of the quake, where Louisa County Fire Lt. Floyd Richard stared at the darkening sky before Irene and said, "What did WE do to Mother Nature to come through here like this."

    There are still four months to go, including September, the busiest month of the hurricane season. The Gulf Coast expected a soaking this weekend from Tropical Storm Lee and forecasters were watching Hurricane Katia slogging west in the Atlantic.

    The insurance company Munich Re calculated that in the first six months of the year there have been 98 natural disasters in the United States, about double the average of the 1990s.

    Even before Irene, the Federal Emergency Management Agency was on pace to obliterate the record for declared disasters issued by state, reflecting both the geographic breadth and frequency of America's problem-plagued year.

    "If you weren't in a drought, you were drowning is what it came down to," Masters said.

    Add to that, oppressive and unrelenting heat. Tens of thousands of daily weather records have been broken or tied and nearly 1,000 all-time records set, with most of them heat or rain related:

    — Oklahoma set a record for hottest month ever in any state with July.

    — Washington D.C. set all-time heat records at the National Arboretum on July 23 with 105 and then broke it a week later with 106.

    — Houston had a record string of 24 days in August with the thermometer over 100 degrees.

    — Newark, N.J., set a record with 108 degrees, topping the old mark by 3 degrees.

    Tornadoes this year hit medium-sized cities such as Joplin, Mo., and Tuscaloosa, Ala. The outbreaks affected 21 states, including unusual deadly twisters in Minnesota, Wisconsin and Massachusetts.

    "I think this year has really been extraordinary in terms of natural catastrophes," said Andreas Schrast, head of catastrophic perils for Swiss Re, another big insurer.

    One of the most noticeable and troubling weather extremes was the record-high nighttime temperatures, said Tom Karl, director of NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. That shows that the country wasn't cooling off at all at night, which both the human body and crops need.

    "These events are abnormal," Karl said. "But it's part of an ongoing trend we've seen since 1980."

    Individual weather disasters so far can't be directly attributed to global warming, but it is a factor in the magnitude and the string of many of the extremes, Karl and other climate scientists say.

    While the hurricanes and tornado outbreaks don't seem to have any clear climate change connection, the heat wave and drought do, said NASA climate scientist Gavin Schmidt.

    This year, there's been a Pacific Ocean climate phenomenon that changes weather patterns worldwide known as La Nina, the flip side to El Nino. La Ninas normally trigger certain extremes such as flooding in Australia and drought in Texas. But global warming has taken those events and amplified them from bad to record levels, said climate scientist Jerry Meehl at the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

    Judith Curry of Georgia Tech disagreed, saying that while humans are changing the climate, these extremes have happened before, pointing to the 1950s.

    "Sometimes it seems as if we have weather amnesia," she said.

    Another factor is that people are building bigger homes and living in more vulnerable places such as coastal regions, said Swiss Re's Schrast. Worldwide insured losses from disasters in the first three months this year are more than any entire year on record except for 2005, when Hurricane Katrina struck, Schrast said.

    Unlike last year, when many of the disasters were in poor countries such as Haiti and Pakistan, this year's catastrophes have struck richer areas, including Australia, Japan and the United States.

    The problem is so big that insurers, emergency managers, public officials and academics from around the world are gathering Wednesday in Washington for a special three-day National Academy of Sciences summit to figure out how to better understand and manage extreme events.

    The idea is that these events keep happening, and with global warming they should occur more often, so society has to learn to adapt, said former astronaut Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA's deputy chief.

    Sullivan, a scientist, said launching into space gave her a unique perspective on Earth's "extraordinary scale and power and both extraordinary elegance and finesse."

    "We are part of it. We do affect it," Sullivan said. "But it surely affects us on a daily basis — sometimes with very powerful punches."

    ___

    Researcher Julie Reed Bell contributed to this report.

    ___

    Online:

    U.S. weather records: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/records

    NOAA's tornado list: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/fataltorn.html

    NOAA's weekly hazards map: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats

    Munich Re's January-June U.S. disasters report: http://bit.ly/q6xfXJ

     

    690 comments

    • shot  •  8 mths ago
      "Nothing is. Everything is becoming. All things are in a constant state of change." The Buddha made this statement 2500 years ago. It is still true.
    • Robin  •  8 mths ago
      1ST Chronicles 7:14; If my people, which are called by my name, shall humble themselves, and pray, and seek my face, and turn from their wicked ways, then will I hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin, and will heal their land.
    • JARVIS  •  8 mths ago
      It's not always about the why, because we will always have things happen. We live on an active, live planet and weather events can happen anywhere as we know. My point is the more important thing is how these events have effected so many people in so many places. The past year has been so difficult for the people suffering from these events, and what comes to mind first is thinking about them and hoping that those alive can recover, and for families that lost loved ones, that they are remembered in our hopes and prayers. Hopefully we will learn more about when something is going to happen to get ample warnings which save people's lives.
      • teacher 8 mths ago
        Good idea-tell your congressman because the GOP cut the EPA, FEMA, the US geologic survey (that monitors earthquakes and tsunami) NOAA, (which monitors the weather and tracks hurricanes). These are the organizations that warn us and respond when we need it. And the FFA that keeps flight safe.
    • A Yahoo! User  •  8 mths ago
      "Unprecedented triple-digit heat and devastating drought. Deadly tornadoes leveling towns. Massive rivers overflowing. A billion-dollar blizzard. And now, unusual hurricane-caused flooding in Vermont."

      Climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change.
    • Apocol0id  •  8 mths ago
      There has been a noticeable rise in disasters in the past few years. Perhaps we're building up to the peak of a cycle that, until now, has not occurred within a time where man could record its happening.
    • Ken  •  8 mths ago
      Let's see...something really nasty and even likely part of an unavoidable climatic cycle is happening on Earth, maybe heading towards some catastrophic events. Science (not oil industry science) has illustrated how man made emissions are compounding the problem so what is the human response? Basically throwing caution of any sort to the wind and continue business as usual, there's money to be made! Add to all of this an exponentially growing human population and with it the accompanying industrial activity all confined to this finite sphere, Earth, and things really start getting interesting. Things cannot continue on our present trajectory, it's mathematically impossible. Will we wake up? 'Course not.
    • muttkat  •  8 mths ago
      Ireland - Coldest June and July in 50 years - 3 Aug 11
      Chile - Wettest winter in decades - 3 Aug 11
      El Hierro earthquakes now exceed 1,050 - 31 Jul 11
      Dublin - Coldest July in 46 years - 1 AUG 11
    • rogerleolafontaine  •  8 mths ago
      It's greed+superstition vs sensible changes in our energy use and it looks so far that greed+superstition are going to win even if it means the end of civilization. This year is 'the writing on the wall'. 10 years from now it will be too late to turn around.
    • *  •  8 mths ago
      "I'm tired of working this hard." said Jeff Masters, a meteorologist.
      Poor baby.
    • joe j  •  8 mths ago
      welcome to the new world, with rising ocean temps that translates directly into more hurricanes and tropical storms. keep driving thoughtlessly, it's only making matters worse
      • American 8 mths ago
        Where have they been for the last five years?
    • shakinmyhead  •  8 mths ago
      What a nothing, trying to drum up readers kind of story. So I guess things are getting bad because tornandoes are now aimi9ng for mid-sized cities?? What's next, tornadoes aiming for med-large cities? Oh the humanity!
    • Mr. Baseball  •  8 mths ago
      Ap only uses file photos.
    • Mr. Baseball  •  8 mths ago
      not extreme at all

      only AP is extremely BAD.
    • WizKid  •  8 mths ago
      Look-up H.A.A.R.P in youtube. See the truth for yourself.
      • Glowby 8 mths ago
        Seen it WizKid. It's all make-believe by paranoid conspiracy theorists ... the usual unverifiable B.S. No different than alien abduction fantasies.
    • WizKid  •  8 mths ago
      It's all man made. Check out H.A.A.R.P
      • WizKid 8 mths ago
        Go to H.A.A.R.P on youtube watch it for yourself.
    • John  •  8 mths ago
      2011 is just one of those 20-30 year cycles & nothing else.....remember what we in australia copped at the beginning of the year......our worst floods in decades as well as a couple of category 5 cyclones....2011 is just being a #$%$ and hopefully things will be better in 2012
      • Eric1 8 mths ago
        Unfortunately, 'La Nina' is NOT going away, and may not until late 2012. That means Australia is going to be hit with devastating floods AGAIN this Winter, and the AMerican Southwest and the Horn of Africa are going to remain in DROUGHT. Hope you haven't thrown away your brolly, mate!
    • Gator  •  8 mths ago
      Look, just because there is a repeating occurance of severe weather over the last decade doesn't necessarily mean there is a pattern, and without a pattern you can't blame this on climate change. It is merely a coincidence that things are happening just as the computer models of the 1990's predicted. Stop trying to make Al Gore into some kind of Prophet
    • ace  •  8 mths ago
      we are all going to die someday and the earth is going to die aswell ....
    • Dennis  •  8 mths ago
      I come from a group of islands (Batanes Islands) located between Taiwan and the Philippines. Typhoons and heavy rains almost always cut a swath through the region and rarely is Batanes spared. Houses and buildings are made of cement and look like bunkers as far as thickness of walls are concerned. Roofs are either of thatch material or corrugated sheets. I have never heard of disasters or deaths as a direct result of a typhoon pounding the tiny islands. Maybe builders and planners can hie off to the islands and see what they can adapt from the typhoon-proof buildings the locals have developed through the ages.
    • LA  •  8 mths ago
      Interesting about global warming. Even scientist in all points say that global warming will not cause severe weather. Because you need the direct opposites to happen with cold and warm to cause tornadoes and bad weather. If things are warming as they say and all agree on, then even the cooler climates are warming... and the scientist say that less severe weather will occur. So.. believe all the propaganda being sold for control and more money's sake...
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