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    Fisher Investments Releases Infographic on the Upcoming Presidential Election

    PRWeb – Fri, Aug 26, 2011

    Firm presents new research examining historical stock market performance in election years

    Woodside, CA (PRWEB) August 26, 2011

    Fisher Investments published a new infographic summarizing market trends in presidential election years. US presidential terms have a powerful pattern that many investors miss. Examining the S&P 500’s average return in each year of a president’s term from 1926 to 2010 reveals interesting results. In the first year, the index historically averages a return of 8.1%, in the second year 8.9%, in the third year 19.4% and in the fourth 10.9%. Fisher Investments refers to this as the Presidential Term Anomaly.

    2012 will be an election year—year four—historically a good year for stocks. Why are returns higher in the years three and four? Legislative risk aversion is typically much lower in the second half of a President’s term. Presidents typically lose relative power at mid-term elections. They know this, and push for more major legislation in the front half when their power is likely to be greater. New legislation typically results in redistribution of money, property rights or regulatory changes. Fisher Investments research shows people hate losses much more than they like gains, so when the likelihood of legislation is higher, overall risk aversion rises—muting returns.

    Another factor to consider in 2012 is whether we re-elect a Democrat or newly elect a Republican. History shows either is particularly a sweet spot for stocks—averaging 14.5% when a Democrat is re-elected and 18.8% when a Republican is newly elected. Access Fisher Investments’ Presidential Term Anomaly infographic.

    About Fisher Investments MarketMinder

    MarketMinder is a financial news and commentary web site designed to help investors better understand if market events are bearish or bullish and why. Operated by Fisher Investments' with the support of its in-house research staff, MarketMinder scours hundreds of periodicals, blogs, and other sources each day to identify the most relevant financial news. Investors can also find global market wrap-ups, proprietary articles on timely topics, and ongoing education. The web site is designed to help investors stay current, think ahead, avoid media myths and ultimately become better investors. Visit http://www.marketminder.com/.

    About Fisher Investments

    Founded in 1979, Fisher Investments is an independent, privately-owned money management firm with more than $44 billion (as of 6/30/11) under management. Fisher Investments maintains two principal business units, Fisher Investments Institutional Group and Fisher Investments Private Client Group, which serve a global client base of diverse investors. Fisher Investments’ clients include over 100 large institutions and over 25,000 high net worth individuals. Founder and CEO Ken Fisher has written the Forbes "Portfolio Strategy" column for 26 years, has written 7 books on investing and personal finance (4 of which are bestsellers), and was recently named by Investment Advisor magazine as one of the 30 most influential industry individuals in the last 30 years (Thirty for Thirty, May 2010). For more information visit http://www.fisherinvestments.com/.

    ###

    David Eckerly
    Fisher Investments
    (800) 851-8845
    Email Information


     

    1 comment

    • Allison F
      Allison F  •  8 mths ago
      More information on the infographic from Fisher Investments can be found here: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/08/26/prweb8751800.DTL
     Post a comment
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