Latest Polls Show Obama Clings to Slim Lead in Ohio

Presidential Poll Round Up - October 18

Yahoo Contributor Network

President Barack Obama clings to a slim lead in two new polls of the important battleground state of Ohio. Mitt Romney continues to lead in North Carolina, and national polls also continue to favor him over the president. But as more polls are taken after Obama's victory in the second presidential debate, is another swing in the race ahead?


Two new polls of Ohio shows President Obama with small lead over Romney. The first, by Survey USA, found Obama ahead by three points, 45-42 percent. Nine percent were undecided, quite a large number this late in the race. The poll surveyed 613 likely voters with a 4 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted entirely before the most recent presidential debate. Rasmussen also conducted a poll, taken the day after the second debate, and also found Obama ahead, but by only a single point, 49-48 percent. The poll surveyed 750 likely voters with a 4 percent margin of error.

North Carolina

The latest Rasmussen poll of North Carolina shows Romney continues to enjoy the lead in the Tar Heel State. Romney has increased his lead to six points over the president, 52-46 percent. The poll of 500 likely voters had a 4.5 percent margin of error. North Carolina appears to be sliding out of swing-state status. Romney has led in North Carolina for most of the campaign, and has now won every poll of the state in October.


Obama appears to have a strong hold on Michigan. A poll by Denno Research and Lambert, Edwards & Associates found Obama up by three points, 44-41 percent. The poll of 600 likely voters has a margin of error of 4 percent. The poll was taken last week, between Oct. 9-10, just after the vice presidential debate but not released until today. A Rasmussen poll also taken last week confirms Obama's lead, and by a greater margin, 52-45 percent. Obama has not trailed in a poll of Michigan since August.


Obama is also running very strong in Minnesota, where he hasn't dropped a single poll all year. The latest Survey USA poll shows Obama with a 10-point lead over Romney, 50-40 percent. The survey of 550 likely voters had a 4.3 percent margin of error.

National Polls

Romney continues to lead in both major national tracking polls. The Rasmussen Three Day Tracking Poll again has Romney ahead by two points, 49-47 percent. The poll's survey window now straddles the most recent presidential debate, with one day on each side. The Gallup Seven Day Tracking Poll shows Romney increasing his lead to seven points among likely voters, 52-45 percent. This is the biggest lead either candidate has had in a national tracking poll so far. But among registered voters, Romney's lead in the Gallup poll falls to a single point, 48-47 percent. This indicates that whichever campaign does the best job getting their supporters to the polls will have the upper hand on Election Day.

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