New Polls Have Good News for Obama

Presidential Poll Round Up - October 17

Yahoo Contributor Network

Polls of the presidential race released today have some encouraging news for President Barack Obama. His week-long plunge in the polls appears to be over. A new round of swing state polls show the president running ahead of Republican Mitt Romney in New Hampshire and Nevada. Nationally, Romney continues to lead, and in one poll, by his biggest margin yet.


Two polls of Nevada both show President Obama in the lead, both by the same margin. A new Rasmussen poll puts Obama up by three points, 50-47 percent. The survey of 500 likely voters had a margin of error of 4.5 percent. A poll done by Survey USA and the Las Vegas Review-Journal gave the president a three-point lead as well, 48-45 percent. The poll surveyed 806 likely voters with a 3.5 percent margin of error. Obama has led in Nevada throughout most of the campaign, and at one point late in September, his lead hit double-digits. Since the first debate, the race is much closer. Both of these polls were conducted before Tuesday's debate.

New Hampshire

For the first time in a week, President Obama tops the polls in New Hampshire. A new Rasmussen survey, taken the day before the debate, gave Obama a slim one-point edge over Romney, 50-49 percent. The poll of 500 likely voters had a margin of error of 4.5 percent. Last week, Rasmussen found the candidates tied at 48 percent. Obama has led in all but six polls of New Hampshire all year, but three of those misses were within the last week.


Rasmussen also polled Montana, for only the third poll of the campaign. Romney was the clear leader, ahead of Obama by eight points, 53-45 percent. The survey of 500 likely voters had a 4.5 percent margin of error. Romney has prevailed in all three polls of Montana by an average of almost 10 points.


Obama continues to lead in Connecticut. A poll by Siena found the president ahead by 15 points, 53-38 percent. The poll, taken between Oct. 4-14, surveyed 552 likely voters with a 4.2 percent margin of error. Obama has led every poll of Connecticut during this election cycle.

New Jersey

New Jersey remains in Obama's column, according to a new poll by Neighborhood Research. The poll of 783 likely voters gave the president a seven point lead, 48-41 percent. The poll's margin of error was 3.5 percent. Two dozen polls have been taken of New Jersey dating back to 2011, and Obama has won them all.

National Polls

Romney has opened his largest national lead of the campaign in the most recent Gallup Seven Day Tracking Poll. Romney has a six point lead over Obama, 51-45 percent. The Rasmussen Three Day Tracking Poll puts the candidates much closer, but Romney remains in the lead by one point, 49-48 percent. The window of Gallup's poll still includes some responses from before the vice presidential debate last week, while Rasmussen's window is completely past it. It will be several days before any potential changes due to the result of Tuesday night's debate will be reflected in either poll.

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