New Polls Show Obama Pulling Ahead in Key Battleground States; Romney Gains Ground in South

Presidential Poll Roundup - Sept. 12

Yahoo Contributor Network

President Barack Obama's post-convention bump continues to grow in newly released polls. The president has opened commanding leads in New Mexico and Illinois, and has taken the lead in two important swing states. Republican Mitt Romney countered with strong results in two southern states, but still trails in national polls.


President Obama is well ahead of Mitt Romney in the president's home state. A new poll by WeAskAmerica found Obama with a 17-point lead over Romney, 54 to 37 percent. The poll surveyed 1,382 likely voters and had a margin of error of 2.8 percent. The poll was only the fourth in Illinois of the campaign, and the president was ahead in all of them.


In a reverse of the national trend, Virginia is back in the Republican column according to a new poll by Gravis Marketing . Romney has jumped out to a five-point lead over Obama, 49 to 44 percent, more than double the poll's 2.2 percent margin of error. Seven percent were undecided. The previous most recent poll, taken byRasmussen just before the Republican National Convention, had the candidates tied. The new poll surveyed 2,238 likely voters.


A second poll by Gravis Marketing surveyed 1,548 likely Ohio voters between Sept. 7-8. Obama led Romney, 47 to 43 percent. The poll's margin of error was 2.7 percent. This poll is in line with a recent Public Policy Polling (PPP) poll, conducted during the same time frame, which gave the president a five-point lead, 50 to 45 percent.


Another new Public Policy Polling poll surveyed 993 likely voters in Arizona. The poll found Romney with a strong nine-point lead over Obama, 53 to 44 percent. Romney has not trailed Obama in Arizona in any poll of this campaign since April.


A new poll of Florida by Survey USA has the president in the lead in this crucial battleground state. Obama was ahead of Romney 48 to 44 percent, with a 4.1 percent margin of error. The two candidates have been leapfrogging each other repeatedly all summer, with neither candidate able to open a consistent and statistically significant lead. Real Clear Politics , which averages polls over a three-week period, shows Obama with an average lead of two points since the end of August.

North Carolina

Two new polls of the Tarheel State have opposite results, but the news is better for Romney. A Survey USA/Civitas poll found Romney with a 10-point advantage over Obama, 53 to 43 percent. The poll of 500 registered voters had a margin of error of 4.5 percent. A poll by PPP gave the president a slim one-point lead over Romney, 49 to 48 percent. Romney has led in most polls of North Carolina since May.

National Polls

The seven-day Gallup tracking poll has Obama increasing his lead nationally over Romney. The latest poll has the president with a 50-43 percent lead, up one point from yesterday. Rasmussen's three-day tracking poll also gives the President the lead, but only by a slim 46-45 margin. Other recent national polls also found Obama with the lead, most within their margins of error. This week marks the first time Obama has opened a statistically significant lead in any national polls since the beginning of August.

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