Presidential Race Remains Close; Romney and Obama Flip-Flop in Missouri

Presidential Poll Round Up - August 27

Yahoo Contributor Network

A bevy of new national and state polls show the race for the presidency remains essentially tied. As the Republican Party gets set to open it's national convention in Tampa, the only thing that's clear is that nothing is clear.


The Todd Akin controversy in Missouri continues to shake up the polls. Multiple polls in the last week in this important state show the race swinging wildly back and forth. The latest poll , released Saturday by Post Dispatch/Mason Dixon, showed Mitt Romney with a seven-point lead over Barack Obama, 50 to 43 percent. The poll, conducted on Aug. 22-23, surveyed 625 registered Missouri voters, with a margin of error of 4 percent. A similar poll taken in July showed Romney with a nine-point lead. A Rasmussen poll released the day before had the President with a narrow lead, 47 percent to Romney's 46 percent, while an earlier poll by Public Policy Polling (PPP) gave Romney a 52-42 lead.


The battleground state of Ohio remains a toss-up. A new poll by the Columbus Dispatch shows the two candidates tied at 45 percent each, with 10 percent undecided. The poll, consisting of more than 1,700 mail-in responses, is the closest poll in the history of the Dispatch, with only two votes separating Romney and Obama. The result is within the poll's 2.1 percent margin of error. Previous polls have shown Obama with a small lead in the race, either within or very close to the margin of error.


Michigan, another battleground state, is as unsettled as Missouri. A new poll by Mitchell Research shows the race tied at 47 percent each. The survey of 1,277 likely voters was conducted on Aug. 23 with a 2.74 percent margin of error. The selection of Rep. Paul Ryan as his vice president may be helping Romney in his home state. "When asked if Congressman Ryan's vice presidential candidacy makes them more or less likely to vote for Romney, 53 percent say it makes them more likely and 47 percent less likely," Steve Mitchell, Chairman of Mitchell Research said in a statement released with the poll. A poll released last week by the Detroit News had Obama in the lead over Romney, 48 percent to 42 percent.


A new poll of 601 likely Pennsylvania voters confirmed Obama's lead over Romney in the Keystone State. The Philadelphia Inquirer survey found Obama with a nine-point lead over Romney, 51 percent to 42 percent. The poll had a margin of error of 4 percent. This poll had the same spread as one earlier in the week by the Morning Call , which had Obama ahead of Romney, 49 percent to 40 percent. Obama hasn't trailed Romney in a poll in Pennsylvania since February .

Tracking Polls

The latest tracking polls continue to show the race tied nationally. Rasmussen has President Obama ahead 47 percent to 44 percent. The rolling survey of 1,500 voters reports a three-day average, with a margin of error of 3 percent. An ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll found former governor Mitt Romney in front, 47 percent to 46 percent. The poll surveyed 857 registered voters between Aug. 22-25, with a margin of error of 4 percent. The most recent Gallup Tracking poll has the two candidates tied at 46 percent each. The poll is a seven-day rolling average of more than 3,000 registered voters, and has a margin of error of 2 percent. This is the second Gallup Tracking poll in a row to show the candidates tied at 46 percent.

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