Rest-of-Season NBA Schedules
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In last week's edition of 'The Numbers Game' we analyzed each team's value to opponents since the All-Star break. The Jazz emerged as the toughest team to face on an overall basis, the Kings were the most lenient, and we determined, for instance, that the Bucks are the easiest team to face if you're targeting steals. At the other end of the spectrum, the Hornets are the least likely team to allow steals to their opponents. You can read that column here.
We will expand upon that analysis this week, using each team's remaining schedule to figure out how easy or hard their matchups are, with an emphasis on specific categories. Fantasy owners still grinding away at this late stage of the season are likely to be targeting specific categories, choosing between two similarly-scrubby free agents and poring over the schedule grid, so my aim is to inform those decisions and make them a bit easier.
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Below is a synopsis of all 30 teams' remaining schedules. The 'rating' for each category and overall value is cumulative, not per-game, as I'm simply trying to determine the best teams/players for total value in the final stretch. Most teams play eight games but the Kings, Pelicans, Blazers, Lakers, Nets and Hornets each play nine more times. On the other hand, the Suns, 76ers, Grizzlies, Clippers, Hawks and Cavaliers have only seven games remaining.
The numbers for each team indicate the cumulative z-scores for their opponents in a given category. Excluding the 'Total' column, each category typically ranges from -5.0 to +5.0, with positive numbers indicating favorable matchups and vice versa. The Nets, for instance, have a +7.3 matchup rating for 3-pointers -- that's an outlier and it's the highest positive matchup of any team in any category (which bodes well for Joe Johnson, Alan Anderson and others). The most intimidating matchup is the Grizzlies' FG% at a brutal -7.5. Among their final seven opponents are the Jazz, Clippers, Pacers, Warriors and Wizards, all of whom rank in the bottom six for FG% allowed since the A.S. break. It's an unforgiving slate for the Grizzlies. I'll forego any further analysis this week, as the numbers are self-explanatory. There's a table at the end of the column which combines all of the teams for easy comparison. Enjoy.
Atlanta Hawks - 7 games - Nets, Suns, Nets, Hornets, Wizards, Knicks & Bulls
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Hawks | 1.9 | 0.4 | 3.1 | -0.5 | -2.1 | -3.5 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
Boston Celtics - 8 games - Pacers, Bucks, Raptors, Pistons, Cavaliers, Cavaliers, Raptors & Bucks
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Celtics | -1.9 | 0.2 | -1.6 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 2.8 | -1.2 | 6.7 |
Brooklyn Nets - 9 games - Knicks, Raptors, Hawks, Trail Blazers, Hawks, Wizards, Bucks, Bulls & Magic
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Nets | 1.3 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 2.8 | -0.1 | 3.6 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 17.5 |
Charlotte Hornets - 9 games - Pacers, 76ers, Heat, Raptors, Hawks, Pistons, Rockets & Raptors
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Hornets | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | -0.8 | 3.0 | -0.3 | 4.3 | -4.0 | 10.1 |
Chicago Bulls - 8 games - Bucks, Pistons, Cavaliers, Magic, Heat, 76ers, Nets & Hawks
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Bulls | 0.1 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | -5.2 | 10.9 |
Cleveland Cavaliers - 7 games - Heat, Bulls, Bucks, Celtics, Celtics, Pistons & Wizards
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Cavaliers | -2.1 | -1.5 | 2.2 | -1.1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.6 | -1.4 | -8.0 |
Dallas Mavericks - 8 games - Thunder, Rockets, Warriors, Suns, Nuggets, Lakers, Jazz & Trail Blazers
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Mavericks | -0.9 | -2.8 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 2.5 | -1.7 | -3.3 | -0.2 | 1.0 | -9.1 |
Denver Nuggets - 8 games - Jazz, Spurs, Clippers, Lakers, Mavericks, Kings, Clippers & Warriors
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Nuggets | -1.4 | -0.3 | -3.7 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -4.6 | -2.2 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -14.9 |
Detroit Pistons - 8 games - Hornets, Bulls, Heat, Celtics, Pacers, Hornets, Cavaliers & Knicks
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Pistons | -1.7 | -2.8 | 1.3 | -3.4 | -6.3 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -0.5 | 5.6 | -11.4 |
Golden State Warriors - 8 games - Suns, Mavericks, Spurs, Pelicans, Trail Blazers, Timberwolves, Grizzlies & Nuggets
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Warriors | 0.8 | -2.9 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 4.1 | -0.9 | 0.6 | 2.4 |
Houston Rockets - 8 games - Kings, Mavericks, Thunder, Spurs, Spurs, Pelicans, Hornets & Jazz
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Rockets | -0.6 | -1.2 | -6.2 | -3.9 | 2.1 | -0.8 | 1.1 | -2.9 | 2.4 | -9.9 |
Indiana Pacers - 8 games - Celtics, Hornets, Heat, Knicks, Pistons, Thunder, Wizards & Grizzlies
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Pacers | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -5.4 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -6.8 |
L.A. Clippers - 7 games - Blazers, Nuggets, Lakers, Lakers, Grizzlies, Nuggets & Suns
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Clippers | 0.7 | -4.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 8.4 |
L.A. Lakers - 9 games - Pelicans, Blazers, Clippers, Clippers, Nuggets, Wolves, Mavericks, Kings & Kings
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Lakers | 5.5 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 5.2 | -0.5 | 2.7 | 20.5 |
Memphis Grizzlies - 7 games - Thunder, Wizards, Pelicans, Jazz, Clippers, Warriors & Pacers
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Grizzlies | -4.5 | -1.9 | -4.0 | -6.3 | -2.4 | -4.2 | -7.5 | 0.7 | 2.3 | -27.7 |
Miami Heat - 8 games - Cavaliers, Pistons, Pacers, Hornets, Bulls, Raptors, Magic & 76ers
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Heat | -1.3 | -1.3 | 2.2 | -0.6 | -5.7 | 2.4 | -0.7 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
Milwaukee Bucks - 8 games - Bulls, Celtics, Magic, Cavs, Knicks, Nets, 76ers & Celtics
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Bucks | 1.8 | -1.1 | 5.4 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 5.5 |
Minnesota Timberwolves - 8 games - Raptors, Magic, Kings, Blazers, Lakers, Warriors, Pelicans & Thunder
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Wolves | 4.1 | 2.4 | -5.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.9 | -0.5 | 3.8 | 14.2 |
New Orleans Pelicans - 9 games - Lakers, Kings, Blazers, Warriors, Grizzlies, Suns, Rockets, Wolves & Spurs
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Pelicans | 2.4 | -0.2 | -2.0 | 0.7 | 3.8 | -1.5 | 2.3 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 5.4 |
New York Knicks - 8 games - Nets, Wizards, 76ers, Pacers, Bucks, Magic, Hawks & Pistons
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Knicks | 0.2 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | -0.9 | 5.1 | -3.7 | 13.2 |
Oklahoma City Thunder - 8 games - Mavs, Grizzlies, Rockets, Spurs, Kings, Pacers, Trail Blazers & Wolves
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Thunder | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.9 | -0.7 | 0.1 | 9.0 |
Orlando Magic - 8 games - Spurs, Wolves, Bucks, Bulls, Raptors, Knicks, Heat & Nets
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Magic | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3.8 | -1.5 | 3.4 | -3.7 | 0.2 | 9.8 |
Philadelphia 76ers - 7 games - Wizards, Hornets, Knicks, Wizards, Bulls, Bucks & Heat
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
76ers | -1.8 | 1.6 | -1.0 | -2.0 | -0.4 | -2.8 | -1.9 | -4.1 | 1.5 | -10.9 |
Phoenix Suns - 7 games - Warriors, Jazz, Hawks, Mavs, Pelicans, Spurs & Clippers
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Suns | -4.3 | -1.4 | -2.6 | -3.9 | 0.4 | -4.5 | -2.5 | -0.2 | -2.3 | -21.3 |
Portland Trail Blazers - 9 games - Clippers, Lakers, Pelicans, Nets, Wolves, Warriors, Jazz, Thunder & Mavs
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Blazers | -0.6 | -0.8 | -2.4 | -1.2 | 0.3 | -3.9 | -2.0 | -1.6 | 1.5 | -10.6 |
Sacramento Kings - 9 games - Rockets, Pelicans, Jazz, Wolves, Jazz, Thunder, Nuggets, Lakers & Lakers
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Kings | -3.8 | -4.4 | -4.4 | -3.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | -3.9 | -4.3 | 2.6 | -15.2 |
San Antonio Spurs - 8 games - Magic, Nuggets, Warriors, Thunder, Rockets, Rockets, Suns & Pelicans
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Spurs | 2.6 | 1.2 | 2.6 | -1.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | -1.9 | 1.7 | -2.8 | 4.6 |
Toronto Raptors - 8 games - Wolves, Nets, Celtics, Hornets, Magic, Heat, Celtics & Hornets
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Raptors | -0.5 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -1.7 | -1.2 | -4.8 |
Utah Jazz - 8 games - Nuggets, Suns, Kings, Kings, Grizzlies, Blazers, Mavs & Rockets
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Jazz | 4.1 | 2.1 | -0.4 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 4.5 | -0.9 | -0.8 | 21.0 |
Washington Wizards - 8 games - 76ers, Knicks, Grizzlies, 76ers, Nets, Hawks, Pacers & Cavs
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Wizards | 4.7 | 1.8 | -12.1 | 0.3 | 9.0 | -0.6 | 4.9 | -7.6 | 11.0 | 11.3 |
Finally, here is the whole lot of them compiled into one table.
PTS | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO | TOTAL | |
Hawks | 1.9 | 0.4 | 3.1 | -0.5 | -2.1 | -3.5 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
Celtics | -1.9 | 0.2 | -1.6 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 2.8 | -1.2 | 6.7 |
Nets | 1.3 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 2.8 | -0.1 | 3.6 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 17.5 |
Hornets | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | -0.8 | 3.0 | -0.3 | 4.3 | -4.0 | 10.1 |
Bulls | 0.1 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | -5.2 | 10.9 |
Cavaliers | -2.1 | -1.5 | 2.2 | -1.1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.6 | -1.4 | -8.0 |
Mavericks | -0.9 | -2.8 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 2.5 | -1.7 | -3.3 | -0.2 | 1.0 | -9.1 |
Nuggets | -1.4 | -0.3 | -3.7 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -4.6 | -2.2 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -14.9 |
Pistons | -1.7 | -2.8 | 1.3 | -3.4 | -6.3 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -0.5 | 5.6 | -11.4 |
Warriors | 0.8 | -2.9 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 4.1 | -0.9 | 0.6 | 2.4 |
Rockets | -0.6 | -1.2 | -6.2 | -3.9 | 2.1 | -0.8 | 1.1 | -2.9 | 2.4 | -9.9 |
Pacers | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -5.4 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -6.8 |
Clippers | 0.7 | -4.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 8.4 |
Lakers | 5.5 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 5.2 | -0.5 | 2.7 | 20.5 |
Grizzlies | -4.5 | -1.9 | -4.0 | -6.3 | -2.4 | -4.2 | -7.5 | 0.7 | 2.3 | -27.7 |
Heat | -1.3 | -1.3 | 2.2 | -0.6 | -5.7 | 2.4 | -0.7 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
Bucks | 1.8 | -1.1 | 5.4 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 5.5 |
Wolves | 4.1 | 2.4 | -5.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.9 | -0.5 | 3.8 | 14.2 |
Pelicans | 2.4 | -0.2 | -2.0 | 0.7 | 3.8 | -1.5 | 2.3 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 5.4 |
Knicks | 0.2 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | -0.9 | 5.1 | -3.7 | 13.2 |
Thunder | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.9 | -0.7 | 0.1 | 9.0 |
Magic | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3.8 | -1.5 | 3.4 | -3.7 | 0.2 | 9.8 |
76ers | -1.8 | 1.6 | -1.0 | -2.0 | -0.4 | -2.8 | -1.9 | -4.1 | 1.5 | -10.9 |
Suns | -4.3 | -1.4 | -2.6 | -3.9 | 0.4 | -4.5 | -2.5 | -0.2 | -2.3 | -21.3 |
Blazers | -0.6 | -0.8 | -2.4 | -1.2 | 0.3 | -3.9 | -2.0 | -1.6 | 1.5 | -10.6 |
Kings | -3.8 | -4.4 | -4.4 | -3.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | -3.9 | -4.3 | 2.6 | -15.2 |
Spurs | 2.6 | 1.2 | 2.6 | -1.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | -1.9 | 1.7 | -2.8 | 4.6 |
Raptors | -0.5 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -1.7 | -1.2 | -4.8 |
Jazz | 4.1 | 2.1 | -0.4 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 4.5 | -0.9 | -0.8 | 21.0 |
Wizards | 4.7 | 1.8 | -12.1 | 0.3 | 9.0 | -0.6 | 4.9 | -7.6 | 11.0 | 11.3 |