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    Statistically Speaking, Is Friday the 13th Really Unlucky?

    The number 13 is synonymous with bad luck. It's considered unlucky to have 13 guests at a dinner party, many buildings don't have a 13th floor and most people avoid getting married or buying a house on a day marked by this dreaded number. Especially superstitious folks even avoid driving on Friday the 13th.

    But is there any statistical proof to support the superstition that Friday the 13th — or even just the number 13 itself — is unlucky?

    "No data exists, and will never exist, to confirm that the number 13 is an unlucky number," said Igor Radun of the Human Factors and Safety Behavior Group at the University of Helsinki's Institute of Behavioural Sciences in Finland. "There is no reason to believe that any number would be lucky or unlucky." 

    Radun might very well be correct, but there are a few bits of scientific research that have given superstitious folk a little more cause for concern, even if the scientists who performed the work aren't necessarily alarmed by their findings. [10 Weird Things Humans Do Every Day, and Why ]

    For starters, a 1993 study published in the British Medical Journal indicates otherwise. Researchers analyzed the traffic flow and number of injuries from car accidents on the southern section of London's M25 motorway during the five months that the 13th fell on a Friday between 1990 and 1992.

    They compared these numbers to data collected on Friday the 6th of the same months, and found that although there are consistently fewer vehicles on the road during the 13th — possibly as a result of superstitious people choosing not to drive that day, the researchers proposed — "the risk of hospital admission as a result of a transport accident may be increased by as much as 52 percent" on the 13th.

    But before triskaidekaphobics, or those who fear the number 13, say "I told you so," it should be noted that although the data were authentic, the authors didn't mean for their conclusions to be taken seriously.

    "It's quite amusing and written with tongue firmly in cheek," said Robert Luben, a researcher at the school of clinical medicine at the University of Cambridge and one of the study's authors. "It was written for the Christmas edition of the British Medical Journal, which usually carries fun or spoof articles."

    Many people took the study at face value and it continues to be cited as valid evidence regarding the misfortune of both the number 13 and Friday the 13th .

    "(Some people) clearly didn't understand that the paper was just a bit of fun and not to be taken seriously," Luben told Life's Little Mysteries. "Many also assumed that the authors were 'believers.' I'm sure that most of these people hadn't read the paper, which suggests that people being superstitious affects their behavior."

    Since the 1993 study, other studies have been written showing that it's just women who have more accidents on Friday the 13th , with further studies determining that that's actually not the case. Other research results attempting to measure just how unlucky the number 13 is are mixed.

    For example, in 2005, the United Kingdom newspaper The Telegraph analyzed the winning lottery balls dating back to when the UK National Lottery began in 1994. They found that the number 13 is the unluckiest ball, since it was drawn a total of 120 times since 1994, compared with the luckiest ball, number 38, which was drawn a total of 182 times. But, "of course, there is no way of predicting which balls will be luckiest in the future," the article cautions.

    Not everyone has found similar patterns.

    "Unfortunately, most of studies dealing with Friday the 13th and the number 13 are solely focused on statistical data, such as accident data, stock exchange data, etc., without any attempt to establish a 'direct' relationship between belief, or superstition, and behavior," said Radun, who is co-author of the 2004 study "Females Do Not Have More Injury Road Accidents on Friday the 13th," which was published in the journal BMC Public Health. "Therefore, it is not surprising that contradictory results may occur … In our study, we did not find that either women or men have more injury road accidents on Friday 13th compared to previous and following Fridays." [Superstitions Bring Real Luck, Study Reveals ]

    Luben agrees that studies about statistics surrounding the number 13 should acknowledge how people's superstitions influence how they act. He wrote in his study that "superstitions affect behavior in all cultures in all parts of the world in some form or other." So whether you vow to never play the number 13 in a lottery or declare that 13 is your lucky number just to go against the grain, the stigma surrounding the number still influenced your decision.

    "There are no lucky or unlucky numbers; they exist only in our heads – or in the heads of some of us – and they might become lucky or unlucky only if we make them as such," Radun said.

    But many triskaidekaphobics, who count author Stephen King and former president Franklin Roosevelt among their ranks, don't need statistical evidence or hard facts to back up their conviction that the number is truly cursed. As with any superstition, no matter how irrational it may be, some people will still choose to believe in it.

    This story was provided by Life's Little Mysteries, a sister site to LiveScience.

     

    27 comments

    • nathan  •  Washington, District of Columbia  •  4 mths ago
      Isn't it funny that a lot of buildings won't allow a 13th floor. It's stupid, it's not like everybody sitting on the 14th floor don't know what floor their actually on!
      • Instantdiver 4 mths ago
        most people are so stupid that they havn't got a clue.
    • James  •  San Antonio, Texas  •  4 mths ago
      I was born on Friday the 13th, so I guess it was lucky for me!!!
    • Old Geezer  •  4 mths ago
      Thats it, I'm shuitting down my computer and this will be the last post I send today. Talk to you all tomorrow!
    • Skeptical  •  4 mths ago
      It's all in our minds. If we believe Friday the 13th is unlucky the brain goes to work and finds ways to make it so.
    • Shadow wolf  •  4 mths ago
      friday the 13th best day to get payback on people
    • Victim  •  Midland, Texas  •  4 mths ago
      My first birthday was on friday the 13th. Ive never had any trouble or problems when my birthday lands on it or any other time.

      If there nothing to be afraid of people just invent some new to freak out bout. Its the way we work.
      • porkie10 4 mths ago
        it's the way SOME of us work...not all
    • A Yahoo! User  •  Kalamazoo, Michigan  •  4 mths ago
      In England in the days of the tall ships they wanted to prove going to sea on a friday and 13 were not unlucky. They laid the keel of the ship on friday 13 it took 13 months to finish, it was launched on a friday, captained by a man named Friday, and set sail on friday 13. The ship was also named the "Friday" on it's first voyage, it was never heard from or seen again.
    • Mark  •  4 mths ago
      Cue a flood of people coming in to insist the supposed curse is real because they know a guy who heard about someone who had something bad happen to them on Friday the 13th.
    • Roger  •  Claremore, Oklahoma  •  4 mths ago
      Taylor Swift was born on Dec. 13th. That's some kind of bad luck to become a star at, what 17 years of age.
      Have you ever gone to a bakery and got a bakers dozen of donuts?
    • Andy  •  4 mths ago
      i knew these people that went to a lake somewhere and a guy in a goalie mask chopped em up. the curse is real people.
    • Horus was plagiarized  •  Kansas City, Missouri  •  4 mths ago
      The main cause of religions was highlighted in a earlier story and quoted below: Many superstitions stem from the same human trait that causes us to believe in monsters and ghosts: When our brains can't explain something, we make stuff up. In fact, a 2010 study found that superstitions can sometimes work, because believing in something can improve performance on a task.
    • rick  •  San Antonio, Texas  •  4 mths ago
      I have always been "Lucky" on Friday the 13th, including miracles.
      • porkie10 4 mths ago
        there's no such thing as miracles loser
    • Awry  •  4 mths ago
      Seems like MONDAY the 13 would be a more feared day for those who fear dates. One always hears about Jesus and his 12 disciples, just to avoid mentioning there were 13 of them.
    • Bill  •  4 mths ago
      "No data exists, and will never exist, to confirm that the number 13 is an unlucky number," said Igor Radun.

      I'm betting you didn't collect any data from the templar knights.
    • Barry's Brain  •  Oakland, New Jersey  •  4 mths ago
      Barry's lucky number "13"!
    • rjs467  •  Windsor, Canada  •  4 mths ago
      I hope to win tonight's Lotto Max. What a memorable Friday the 13th it would be, indeed!!
    • GoMe  •  Montreal, Canada  •  4 mths ago
      hahaha bunch of LOSERS who think Friday the 13th is the unluckiest day ever.. ask those who made those movies... they made millions out of gullible sobs like YOU!
    • OpenMind  •  Kelowna, Canada  •  4 mths ago
      It's bad luck to be superstitious!
    • Instantdiver  •  4 mths ago
      The reason behind this is because pope Clement V in 1312 declared the knights templars heretics and had them ( 20,000 of them ) killed on ( you guessed it ) the 13th day of October, which was also a friday. Hence the ledgend of Friday the 13th being bad luck.
    • Dave  •  Toronto, Canada  •  4 mths ago
      it was unlucky for a lot of toronto drivers today
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