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    Zynga falters in debut, sheds doubt on IPO market

    NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Online games developer Zynga Inc scored badly as it went public on Friday, dashing hopes for the year's hottest tech IPO, as investors frowned on its over-reliance on Facebook, dimming growth prospects, and outsized control by CEO Mark Pincus.

    Zynga's stock fell 5 percent below its $10 initial public offering price to close at $9.50 on Nasdaq on Friday, dealing losses to IPO buyers used to racking up gains on a stock's first day of trading.

    Investors had eagerly awaited the IPO as a way to get a slice of Facebook's growth before the leading social networking website goes public, possibly in 2012. Zynga makes money on Facebook by selling virtual items such as jewelry and poker chips in its games such as "FarmVille" and "CityVille."

    At least one analyst said on Friday that some investors may have been turned off by Chief Executive Mark Pincus' large voting stake and control over the company. He has a special class of shares that grants him 37 percent voting power even though his equity stake is much lower, and public shareholders will have less than 2 percent of votes.

    "We believe that having a CEO/owner-controlled board is particularly dangerous for investors in young companies," said Cowen and Co analyst Doug Creutz.

    Creutz, who has a neutral rating on the stock, added that history is full of examples of CEOs who have built young companies but cannot manage them when they mature.

    Asked about his voting shares, Pincus told Reuters he decided to retain such huge control over Zynga because he believed from the start that he was the best person to lead the company.

    "Investors who want to see the company deliver long-term value are going to be better served by the fact that I can continue to ensure the company keeps its focus on the long term and we don't let short-term swings and opportunities reduce that," he said in an interview.

    Based on Friday's closing share price, the value of Pincus' holdings fell to $1.05 billion from $1.1 billion at the IPO price.

    Friday's flop stunned investors who had expected a strong showing because the company is profitable, unlike other recent high profile Internet IPOs such as Groupon and Pandora.

    "I was stunned when I saw this. This is a disaster for them. The way you're supposed to price deals is to give investors a 15 percent IPO discount to compensate them for the risk of backing a relatively new company," said Dan Niles, chief investment officer of AlphaOne Capital Partners, who did not buy shares.

    "It makes me wonder about the underlying health of the market. IPOs like this can change the whole tenor of the market," he added.

    Investors said Zynga's stock performance could hurt other private companies in the pipeline such as Yelp and even Facebook. Some investors regard Zynga's IPO as a proxy for Facebook, because 95 percent of its $828 million in revenue in the past nine months comes from Mark Zuckerberg's social network.

    "Now we have an exciting IPO and people don't want it and that's a big concern for when Facebook comes out," said Jeff Sica, president and chief investment officer of SICA Wealth Management.

    The cooling off in the IPO markets could hurt Facebook's estimated $100 billion valuation, BGC analyst Colin Gillis said.

    Zynga's reliance on the platform was supposed to attract investors looking to bet on Facebook's growth. With Facebook's IPO expected to be at least several months away, Zynga is one of the few indirect ways to bet on the website's future.

    Facebook takes a 30 percent cut of the revenue Zynga derives from the social network, which features more than 222 million monthly active Zynga users.

    Zynga CEO Pincus said he was looking beyond the share price drop and said the company went public at the right time.

    "We're going to focus on the products and business results we deliver in the next four to eight quarters and hope the stock market values and appreciates that as they see us deliver it," he said.

    In San Francisco, hundreds of employees got to work early to watch Pincus ring the bell to open Nasdaq trading and wore T-shirts saying "I love play" featuring the ZNGA trading symbol printed on the sleeves. Cinnamon buns and hot cocoa were served before the ceremony.

    CONCERNS WEIGH

    The company, which competes with Electronic Arts, sold 100 million shares of Class A common stock at $10 per share in the IPO, roughly 11 percent of its shares on a diluted basis, at the top end of the $8.50 to $10 indicative range.

    The IPO values Zynga at $8.9 billion. In November, the company had been valued at roughly $14 billion, according to an internal estimate in a regulatory filing.

    But that lowered valuation may still have been too rich for some, said Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia.

    Zynga's near $9 billion valuation is less than videogame maker Activision Blizzard Inc's $13.6 billion and higher than Electronic Arts Inc's $6.7 billion. In the last four quarters, Activision and Electronic Arts generated more revenue than Zynga.

    Analysts and investors have also expressed concern over how it profits from less than 3 percent of its players who buy items in its free games.

    Plus, its reliance on Facebook appears unhealthy to investors who want to see Zynga diversify its revenue sources. Pincus on Friday said the company's 13 million daily users of its mobile games is a good start, and doesn't trail its daily users on Facebook as much as people assume. Zynga had 50.5 million daily users on Facebook on Friday, according to AppData, a website which tracks Facebook applications.

    Yet Zynga's growth rate of bookings - the money it makes up front when users buy items, is slowing - which most analysts said is a red flag and could hurt Zynga's future revenue.

    Zynga is the second online games company selling virtual items to slip in its trading debut this week. On Wednesday, Nexon Co shares fell following its $1.2 billion IPO, which was Japan's biggest offering this year.

    At $1 billion in proceeds, Zynga's IPO is still the largest from a U.S. Internet company since Google Inc raised $1.9 billion in 2004.

    (Reporting By Liana B. Baker in New York and Alistair Barr in San Francisco)

     

    113 comments

    • DigiDragon  •  Everett, United States  •  2 mths ago
      I find it difficult to believe that the company is worth that much. Most of their games are just plain buggy, the worst being Treasure Isle which crashes or stalls 70% of the time. The load time of the graphics is horrific on every one of their games that I've tried. AND they want people to actually pay real money for game credits? (in TI they want $20 for a measly $100 in game currency, a lot less then pretty much any MMO out there).
    • Surrealist  •  Philadelphia, United States  •  2 mths ago
      Vapor software, vapor company.
    • fiasco  •  2 mths ago
      This is pathetic - an IPO for a company that makes nothing and instead serves gaming fantasy to retards. I suppose that's what you'd expect in a country that is build on fantasy like democracy, personal freedom, and time is money.
    • Tom S  •  Norcross, United States  •  2 mths ago
      Investors that invest in this company are fools. Most people never heard of these games. These games aren't exactly "MW3" or Guitar Hero. Only the owners issuing these shares stand to benefit. But, alas, a fool and his money soon part.
    • BigLink  •  2 mths ago
      People paying money for imaginary goods...
      What do they expect?
      Now you get imaginary returns!
    • Bernie  •  Albuquerque, United States  •  2 mths ago
      "Invest" in crap, get crap! Overvalued, over hyped waste. I know, use this storyline to create a new game -- Zyngaville...
    • DaveO  •  2 mths ago
      Exactly how facebook will go I suspect.

      What people don't seem to take into account is the fact that facebook, unlike Google, and other major companies, has absolutely no real products, be they physical or virtual.

      Yes it may be a massive media platform, but it also has some of the most tech savvy users on the planet, who happen to be smart enough to 'detect' adds, and often will avoid clicking on ads.

      Aside from ads, search and maybe eventually an OS or phone handset, facbook has very few potential products which could be monetized, especially to the level of giving those 100 billion dollar investors any form of return.

      200 million for FB could be reasonable, or maybe if we're very very generous 1billion, but 100 billion?!!? I mean come on, how can we really compare FB to the likes of Apple and Google?!?
    • LMM  •  2 mths ago
      Zynga has a nasty oder!!
    • Billie  •  2 mths ago
      Turned off by their CEO? Just play their games and seriously ask yourself if you would pay for this? No invester would invest if they played their games. You want to play a game, find a real game, not some social network bull that will spam you constantly. So annoying!
    • j  •  Atlanta, United States  •  2 mths ago
      IPOs like this are Viral in nature. Has it been profitable? Yes, for the owners. And when this 'Flavor of the Month' IPO loses it's Social Media Viral popularity... so will investors. This whole move is just for show... to entice a corporate mogul that will offer a big payoff to buy the IPO and incorporate it as their own. In which case the owners are the only ones to really profit.
    • David  •  Orlando, United States  •  2 mths ago
      Play the games like Monopoly. You never have to go to the 'store' to get more game pieces or money!!
    • Thomas M  •  Elmhurst, United States  •  2 mths ago
      Not a shock. When over half the company is known to be waiting for their payout before jumping ship due to AH management, what would you be investing in? A CEO?
    • LMM  •  Bakersfield, United States  •  2 mths ago
      Zynga has a nasty oder!!
    • Gus  •  2 mths ago
      A company whose product doesn't work 1/3 of the time isn't worth investing in. And Alec Baldwin spouting off about "Words with Friends" less than a week before the IPO reeks of a publicity stunt, probably in violation of SEC rules and the quiet period.
    • Zippy  •  2 mths ago
      Anyone that purchased their stock? Suckahs!!
    • GK  •  Verona, United States  •  2 mths ago
      A lot of words in this article when all it needed to say was Zynga missed its window of opportunity about 12 months ago.
    • Surrealist  •  Philadelphia, United States  •  2 mths ago
      Anyone remember MySpace?
    • Surrealist  •  Philadelphia, United States  •  2 mths ago
      It's the 80's, lipstick on a pig, tech scam all over again only with a new crop of suckers this time around.
    • GaryB  •  2 mths ago
      How did the stock price FALL on the first day? Unless some of the people who bought it later sold it, that's the only thing I can figure.
    • Seen it all  •  Beaufort, United States  •  2 mths ago
      I've seen how companies whose controlling interests have been controlled by less-than-trustworthy families or individuals. they tended to run the business in a way the benefits them, not the other investors. When one of these companies goes belly up, the family walks away with a fortune and other investors, bond holders and creditors walk away with nothing.

      Check out Donald Trump's history and those of the companies he ran for a good lesson in how investor risks too often play out.
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