Advanced Micro (AMD) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?

·3 min read

Have you been paying attention to shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 12.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $106.97 in the previous session. Advanced Micro Devices has gained 15.8% since the start of the year compared to the 22.1% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 14.9% return for the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 27, 2021, Advanced Micro reported EPS of $0.63 versus consensus estimate of $0.54 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 6.35%.

For the current fiscal year, Advanced Micro is expected to post earnings of $2.5 per share on $15.67 billion in revenues. This represents a 93.8% change in EPS on a 60.45% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $3.07 per share on $17.85 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 22.62% and 13.97%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Advanced Micro may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Advanced Micro has a Value Score of D. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 42.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 77.1X versus its peer group's average of 18.9X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.95. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Advanced Micro currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Advanced Micro fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Advanced Micro shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.


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