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American Express storylines: Can Jon Rahm win again and who could shoot a 59?

Patrick Cantlay hits his second shot on the 17th hole of the Nicklaus Tournament course at PGA West during the American Express in La Quinta, Calif., Friday, January 21, 2022.
Patrick Cantlay hits his second shot on the 17th hole of the Nicklaus Tournament course at PGA West during the American Express in La Quinta, Calif., Friday, January 21, 2022.

Opening round at La Quinta

The first-round leader of The American Express doesn’t always come from La Quinta Country Club, but if you were in Las Vegas, La Quinta would be the heavy favorite to produce a leader. Last year two players -- Patrick Cantlay and Lee Hodges -- fired 10-under 62s at La Quinta in the first round to lead the tournament by two shots. In 2020 Zac Blair shared the first-round lead with a 64 at La Quinta. In 2019, it was Phil Mickelson with a sizzling 60 at La Quinta for the first-round lead. In 2018, it was a 62 from Jon Rahm that held the first-round lead. And so it goes at La Quinta Country Club. But it is also important to know that of those first-round leaders, only Rahm went on to win the tournament. Still, the opening 18 holes at La Quinta are worth watching.

59 watch

The American Express is that rare tournament on the PGA Tour where a 59 would only tie the tournament scoring record. David Duval in 1999 and Adam Hadwin in 2017 have each shot a 59 at the event. A few tournaments on the tour seem to have players on 59 watch from the opening tee shot, and The American Express is one of those events. Both La Quinta Country Club and the Nicklaus Tournament Course are ripe for a 59 when the best players in the world show up. Which round will produce the 59 watch in 2023?

Adam Hadwin tees off on the 1st hole of the PGA West Pete Dye Stadium Course during the third round of The American Express in La Quinta, Calif., on January 23, 2021.
Adam Hadwin tees off on the 1st hole of the PGA West Pete Dye Stadium Course during the third round of The American Express in La Quinta, Calif., on January 23, 2021.

A multiple tournament winner

There are a few players in the field who have a chance to join the nine golfers who have won The American Express at least twice (not counting Bill Haas, who already has two wins in the desert tournament). Of those the most intriguing name is Jon Rahm. Rahm won the 2018 title in a playoff over Andrew Landry and has since established himself as one of the game’s best players on both sides of the Atlantic. Rahm loves playing in the American Southwest, and a victory this week would be a huge feather in the cap of the tournament.

Jon Rahm tees off on the 10th hole of the Pete Dye Stadium Course at PGA West during round three of The American Express in La Quinta, Calif., on Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
Jon Rahm tees off on the 10th hole of the Pete Dye Stadium Course at PGA West during round three of The American Express in La Quinta, Calif., on Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.

Rickie Fowler on comeback

Is Rickie Fowler on the comeback on the PGA Tour? A five-time winner on the PGA Tour, Fowler dropped to as low as 173rd in the world rankings late in 2022, and he hasn’t won a PGA Tour event since the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February of 2019. But Fowler, always popular with galleries, posted two top-10 finishes in his first three starts of the 2022-23 season. He fits the profile of an American Express winner, because . . . .

Rickie Fowler reacts after his putt on the 16th green during the second round of the CJ Cup golf tournament Friday, Oct. 21, 2022, in Ridgeland, S.C. (AP Photo/Stephen B. Morton)
Rickie Fowler reacts after his putt on the 16th green during the second round of the CJ Cup golf tournament Friday, Oct. 21, 2022, in Ridgeland, S.C. (AP Photo/Stephen B. Morton)

Look for the outsider

It’s a great field full of top-20 players. But The American Express has a long history of rewarding the outsider, the heavy underdog, with victories. The last winner of the tournament who was ranked in even the top 90 of the Official World Golf Rankings was Jon Rahm in 2018, when he was third in the world and moved up to second after winning the title. Since then Adam Long (417th), Andrew Landry (240th), Si Woo Kim (96th) and Hudson Swafford (166th) have won the tournament. So instead of looking for a winner at the top of the world rankings this week, you might want to look down around 100th.

Si Woo Kim tees off on 17 on the Pete Dye Stadium course during the final round of The American Express at PGA West in La Quinta, Calif., Sunday, Jan. 23, 2022.
Si Woo Kim tees off on 17 on the Pete Dye Stadium course during the final round of The American Express at PGA West in La Quinta, Calif., Sunday, Jan. 23, 2022.

This article originally appeared on Palm Springs Desert Sun: 2023 American Express: Can Jon Rahm win again, who could shoot a 59 among storylines?