Area east of Florida has 10% chance of becoming tropical depression, hurricane center says

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The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disturbed weather east of Florida, giving it a 10% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours.

In its Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. on Sunday, the hurricane center said the broad low pressure area “is producing an area a large area of disturbed weather extending
a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas.”

The NHC noted, “environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable later today [Sunday] and development of this system is not expected as it moves generally
north-northeastward over the southwestern Atlantic at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days.”

In addition to giving the system a 10% chance of developing into a depression in the next 48 hours, it also placed the same odds for its development over the next seven days.

Hurricane Center begins daily tropical updates; Oops, we already had 1 storm

Hurricane season does not officially start until June 1, but that doesn’t mean we could not have a named tropical storm or hurricane before then.

From 2015 to 2021, a named storm formed before June 1. Also, the hurricane center said earlier this month that upon review, we already had what should have been a named storm in January.