Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat picks, predictions, odds: Who wins Play-In Tournament game?
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat play on Tuesday in an NBA Play-In Tournament game, with the winner earning the No. 7 seed in the NBA Playoffs and advancing to face the Boston Celtics in the first round.
The loser will face the winner of Wednesday's Toronto Raptors vs. Chicago Bulls game on Friday for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference.
The game is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. MST and can be seen on TNT.
Who will win the game?
The Heat are a 4.5-point favorite over the Hawks, according to Tipico Sportsbook.
Miami is -200 on the moneyline, while Atlanta is +170.
The over/under for the game is set at 227.5 points.
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Sportsbook Wire: Heat 116, Hawks 112
It writes: "The 109.5 points per game the Heat score are 8.6 fewer points than the Hawks allow (118.1). Miami is 11-4-1 against the spread and 13-3 overall when scoring more than 118.1 points. When Atlanta gives up fewer than 109.5 points, it is 20-2-1 against the spread and 20-3 overall. The Hawks score an average of 118.4 points per game, 8.6 more points than the 109.8 the Heat allow to opponents."
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FanDuel: Hawks 116, Heat 113
Larry Rupp writes: "I see this showdown coming down to the fundamentals, which favor the Hawks. Atlanta ranks ahead of the Heat when it comes to shooting percentage, total rebounding rate and assists per game. Miami's defensive talent is undeniable, but it lacks any kind of offensive power (No. 25 in efficiency).
Winners and Whiners: Take the Hawks with the points vs. Heat
Mark Ruelle writes: "Despite losing three of four games in the season series, the Hawks only lost by an average of just over two points per game. The Hawks will also have the services of Clint Capella in the paint, which should slow down Adebayo and keep him from his 25-point average against Atlanta this season. The Hawks shot well below their 3pt average in the four games, from 36% to 30%. Even a slight bump in percentage will make a difference in a line like this. While Miami is 27-15 at home this season, the team is just 14-25-2 ATS at home. The Heat are also just 3-7 ATS in their last ten against teams in their division. Familiarity will keep this game tight and likely make this a one-possession game."
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Dimers: Heat 115, Hawks 110
It writes: "Dimers.com's predicted final score for Atlanta vs. Miami at Kaseya Center on Tuesday has the Heat winning 115-110.
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ESPN: Heat have an 88.2% chance to win the game
The site gives the Hawks an 11.8% shot at picking up the victory in the NBA Play-In Tournament game.
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat predictions for NBA Play-In Tournament
