How Can Bernie Sanders or Pete Buttigieg Win the Democratic Nomination?

Daniel Palazzolo, Ernest B. McGowen III

“We are the campaign with the strongest momentum in the state of New Hampshire,” Pete Buttigieg told a crowd in Nashua last week.

“I’ve got the ‘Big Mo,’” said George H. Bush after winning the Iowa caucuses in 1980.

Following this year’s New Hampshire primary, won by Bernie Sanders, observers of the 2020 Democratic primary will undoubtedly continue to hear claims from the candidates and the news media about “momentum” – the advantage a candidate gains after winning a primary election by a greater amount than predicted by polls taken before the election.

But what does it mean for a candidate to have momentum, and how will momentum affect the media’s coverage of the Democratic candidates in 2020?

We view momentum as more than a talking point or a prized gift for the winner of the Iowa caucuses or New Hampshire primary.

When a candidate exceeds expectations in a primary or caucus, the media responds with favorable coverage, which in turn influences polls, donations and volunteers. Interestingly, the momentum of the insurgent has a stronger effect on media coverage than that of the front-runner.

Measuring momentum

Read the original article.

  • A national lockdown to stop coronavirus? Trump is 'thinking about doing that'
    Yahoo News

    A national lockdown to stop coronavirus? Trump is 'thinking about doing that'

    President Trump shied away Wednesday from issuing domestic travel restrictions or a national lockdown to slow the spread of the coronavirus pandemic that, in a best-case scenario, is expected to kill between 100,000 and 240,000 Americans. Asked at a White House briefing if he was considering limiting domestic air travel, Trump said he was thinking about it, a phrase he frequently applies to subjects he wishes to avoid discussing. We're thinking about doing that, but at the same time we just, to start these airlines and to start this whole thing over again is very tough, John [Roberts, Fox News reporter].

  • Flattening the curve on coronavirus: What California and Washington can teach the world
    Yahoo News

    Flattening the curve on coronavirus: What California and Washington can teach the world

    Washington state, early, about two weeks before New York or New Jersey ... California, a week before New York or New Jersey, really talked to their communities and decided to mitigate before they started seeing this number of cases. And now we know that makes a big difference.

  • Dr. Fauci Shuts Down ‘Fox & Friends’ on Coronavirus Cure: ‘We Don’t Operate on How You Feel’
    The Daily Beast

    Dr. Fauci Shuts Down ‘Fox & Friends’ on Coronavirus Cure: ‘We Don’t Operate on How You Feel’

    Top infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci left the hosts of Fox & Friends disappointed and frustrated Friday when he threw cold water on their insistence that the anti-malarial drug hydroxychloroquine is a game-changing cure for the coronavirus. Citing a recent poll showing that 37 percent of doctors around the world feel the drug is currently the most effective treatment of COVID-19, co-host Steve Doocy added that frequent Fox News guest Dr. Mehmet Oz recently touted a small Chinese study that found the drug had some efficacy in treating the virus. Doocy went on to play a clip of Dr. Oz wondering whether Fauci was impressed with the results of that study.

  • Americans purchasing record-breaking numbers of guns amid coronavirus
    The Guardian

    Americans purchasing record-breaking numbers of guns amid coronavirus

    Americans have responded to the coronavirus epidemic with a record-breaking number of gun purchases, according to new government data on the number of background checks conducted in March. More than 3.7m total firearm background checks were conducted through the FBI's background check system in March, the highest number on record in more than 20 years. An estimated 2.4m of those background checks were conducted for gun sales, according to adjusted statistics from a leading firearms industry trade group.

  • 10 Great Deals on Apparel From REI’s 25% off Sale
    Popular Mechanics

    10 Great Deals on Apparel From REI’s 25% off Sale

    Act fast to score discounts on Patagonia, Nike, Smartwool, and more. From Popular Mechanics

  • France Has Deadliest Virus Day as Infection Rate Slows in Spain
    Bloomberg

    France Has Deadliest Virus Day as Infection Rate Slows in Spain

    France reported its deadliest day from the coronavirus amid tentative signs that the pandemic may be easing in Spain and Italy. The health ministry in Paris reported 588 hospital deaths, the most yet, bringing the figure to 5,091 since the beginning of the outbreak. In contrast, new infections slowed and fatalities declined in Spain for the first time in four days, as infections stabilized in Italy.

  • Navy fires captain who sought help for virus-stricken ship
    Associated Press

    Navy fires captain who sought help for virus-stricken ship

    The captain of a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier facing a growing outbreak of the coronavirus on his ship was fired by Navy leaders who said he created a panic by sending his memo pleading for help to too many people. Acting Navy Secretary Thomas Modly said the ship's commander, Capt. Brett Crozier, “demonstrated extremely poor judgment” in the middle of a crisis. Modly's decision to remove Crozier as ship commander was immediately condemned by members of the House Armed Services Committee, who called it a “destabilizing move” that will “likely put our service members at greater risk and jeopardize our fleet's readiness."

  • Stacey Abrams trends after Georgia governor said he didn't know about asymptomatic spread
    NBC News

    Stacey Abrams trends after Georgia governor said he didn't know about asymptomatic spread

    Stacey Abrams began trending on U.S. Twitter on Thursday after Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp admitted having only recently learned that asymptomatic individuals can spread the coronavirus — despite warnings from health experts as early as January. "This virus is now transmitting before people see signs," Kemp said. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, based in Atlanta, warned as early as Feb. 12 that the coronavirus could be spread by asymptomatic people.

  • Reuters

    Putin replaces head of remote Russian region after coronavirus outbreak

    Russian President Vladimir Putin replaced the head of a remote northern region on Thursday soon after a preliminary investigation was launched to check if more than 50 people in a local hospital had been infected by a doctor. Russia's Komi republic, 1,000 km (620 miles) northeast of Moscow, has reported 56 cases of the virus, more than any other region outside Moscow, its surrounding region and St. Petersburg. Fifty-five of those cases were related to a single hospital in the district of Ezhva in Komi's regional capital, Syktyvkar, according to a statement by the regional administration.

  • Two years before coronavirus, CDC warned of a coming pandemic
    Yahoo News

    Two years before coronavirus, CDC warned of a coming pandemic

    Two years ago, some of the nation's top public health officials gathered in an auditorium at Emory University in Atlanta to commemorate the 1918 influenza pandemic — also known as “the Spanish flu” — which had killed as many as 40 million people as it swept the globe. Implicit was the understanding that while the 1918 pandemic was a singular catastrophe, conditions in the 21st century were ideal for another outbreak. Long before the coronavirus emerged in Wuhan, China, and then soon spread to nearly every country on Earth, the 2018 conference offered proof that epidemiologists at the CDC and other institutions were aware that a new pandemic was poised to strike.

  • US sends warships to Caribbean to stop illegal drugs
    BBC

    US sends warships to Caribbean to stop illegal drugs

    The US says it is sending warships to the Caribbean to stop illegal drugs. "We must not let the drug cartels exploit the [coronavirus] pandemic to threaten American lives," President Donald Trump said. The move comes a week after the US charged Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and other senior officials in the country with "narco-terrorism".

  • Coronavirus poses special risk to millions of Americans with diabetes
    Yahoo News

    Coronavirus poses special risk to millions of Americans with diabetes

    As the worsening coronavirus pandemic continues to spread across the country, millions of Americans living with diabetes face heightened risks from COVID-19. Around 30 million Americans have diabetes, mostly of the type II (previously called “adult-onset”) variety. A quarter of U.S. adults with diabetes are over 65, an age that has been shown to delineate increased COVID-19 mortality rates.

  • New Yorkers Are Right to Be Skeptical of Evangelical-Run Coronavirus Ward in Central Park
    The Daily Beast

    New Yorkers Are Right to Be Skeptical of Evangelical-Run Coronavirus Ward in Central Park

    If New York City wasn't under a strict stay-at-home order right now, protesters might be marching along Central Park. The 60-bed emergency field hospital is composed largely of tarp-wrapped tents and will function as a respiratory unit servicing overflow patients from Mount Sinai Hospital. City Mayor Bill de Blasio admitted he was “very concerned” about the operation and was sending people from his office to monitor Samaritan's Purse.

  • Coronavirus map of the US: latest cases state by state
    The Guardian

    Coronavirus map of the US: latest cases state by state

    The number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 continues to grow in the US. Mike Pence, the vice-president, is overseeing the US response to the coronavirus. So far, 80% of patients experience a mild form of the illness, which can include a fever and pneumonia, and many of these cases require little to no medical intervention.

  • Coronavirus live updates: US death toll tops 6,000; 701K jobs lost in March; NY sending National Guard to seize ventilators
    USA TODAY

    Coronavirus live updates: US death toll tops 6,000; 701K jobs lost in March; NY sending National Guard to seize ventilators

    Paul Davidson New York to send National Guard to seize ventilators After New York's most deadly night due to the coronavirus, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Friday he will call in the National Guard to take unused ventilators and supplies to redistribute them to the places of greatest need. New York had a shocking 562 deaths overnight – an average of 23 deaths an hour – as the total number of deaths in the state due to COVID-19 hit 2,935, Cuomo announced. In response, Cuomo said he will sign an executive order that will allow the National Guard to go to hospitals and health-care facilities to take unused ventilators and other medical supplies so they can be used in parts of the state in desperate ne...

  • A new type of coronavirus test could turn the tide by revealing who has already recovered. Those immune people could go back to work first.
    Business Insider

    A new type of coronavirus test could turn the tide by revealing who has already recovered. Those immune people could go back to work first.

    New tests can identify people who have recovered from COVID-19 by searching for coronavirus antibodies in the blood. Experts like Dr. Anthony Fauci have expressed confidence that recovered coronavirus patients will be immune, though further research is needed to be sure. The restrictions promote social distancing to "flatten the curve," or keeping the number of coronavirus infections at a level that won't overwhelm healthcare systems.

  • Oil price barrels ahead as OPEC flags meeting
    AFP

    Oil price barrels ahead as OPEC flags meeting

    The price of crude oil surged again Friday after OPEC said it would talk to non-members, notably Russia, giving investors hope that they will stop a price war which has created market chaos along with crushed demand because of the coronavirus. The Saudi-led OPEC group of oil producers and their allies will meet Monday via video conference, a source close to the cartel said. Global stock markets fell following another set of devastating American employment numbers, gloomy eurozone services data and news that the number of declared COVID-19 infections had hit one million worldwide.

  • Birx: 5 states could be among next coronavirus 'hot spots'
    Yahoo News Video

    Birx: 5 states could be among next coronavirus 'hot spots'

    Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator, listed several states that could be the next “hot spots” for large numbers of COVID-19 cases, based on how many positive cases they have now.

  • Italy's daily tally of coronavirus deaths and cases steady, with 766 new deaths
    Reuters

    Italy's daily tally of coronavirus deaths and cases steady, with 766 new deaths

    The death toll from an outbreak of the coronavirus in Italy has climbed by 766 to 14,681, the Civil Protection Agency said on Friday, marginally higher than the daily tally of 760 fatalities registered a day earlier. The number of new cases was slightly lower, growing by 4,585 from a previous 4,668, bringing total infections since the outbreak came to light on Feb. 21 to 119,827. Friday was the fifth consecutive day in which the number of new cases remained within a range of 4,050-4,782, confirming government hopes that the epidemic has hit a plateau, ahead of an expected decline in the near future.

  • Pelosi forming House committee to investigate the coronavirus outbreak
    NBC News

    Pelosi forming House committee to investigate the coronavirus outbreak

    House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., announced Thursday that a bipartisan House committee will investigate the federal response to coronavirus pandemic and ensure that congressional funding is spent wisely. “The committee will be empowered to examine all aspects of the federal response to the coronavirus, and to assure that the taxpayer dollars are being wisely and efficiently spent to save lives, deliver relief and benefit our economy,” Pelosi said during a conference call with reporters. House Majority Whip James Clyburn, D-S.C., will chair the newly formed House committee, Pelosi said.

  • Trump says he doesn’t want a nationwide stay-at-home order because some states don’t have a high number of coronavirus cases
    Yahoo News Video

    Trump says he doesn’t want a nationwide stay-at-home order because some states don’t have a high number of coronavirus cases

    At the coronavirus task force briefing, President Trump said he didn't want to issue a nationwide stay-at-home order to fight the pandemic because there are some states that don't have a large number of positive coronavirus cases.

  • 26 infected with coronavirus at Mexico hospital; doctor dead
    Associated Press

    26 infected with coronavirus at Mexico hospital; doctor dead

    The Mexican government is sanitizing a public hospital in a northern steel town that has become the center of a coronavirus outbreak that has sickened at least 26 members of the medical staff and killed one of its doctors. The outbreak raised questions about the preparedness of the public health system to confront a pandemic that is just beginning to gain steam in the country. President Andrés Manuel López Obrador said Thursday that 80 public hospitals were being converted to handle people ill with the COVID-19 disease caused by the new coroanvirus.

  • ‘New York Is in Crisis’: Cuomo Pleads for Help as State Suffers Worst Single-Day Death Toll
    The Daily Beast

    ‘New York Is in Crisis’: Cuomo Pleads for Help as State Suffers Worst Single-Day Death Toll

    More people in New York State have died in the last 24 hours than in most of March, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Friday—but the Empire State, the epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S., is still struggling to find enough medical equipment to combat the pandemic. “The curve continues to go up,” Cuomo said at a Friday briefing in Albany, adding that, in the last day, the state saw its “highest single increase in the number of deaths since we started.” “New York is in crisis," he said.

  • Venezuela navy vessel sinks after 'ramming cruise ship'
    BBC

    Venezuela navy vessel sinks after 'ramming cruise ship'

    A Venezuelan navy coastal patrol boat sank in the Caribbean after allegedly ramming a cruise ship that it had ordered to change direction. The owners of the Portuguese-flagged RCGS Resolute said the naval vessel Naiguata also fired shots in an "act of aggression in international waters”. The collision left the cruise ship, which has a reinforced hull for sailing in icy waters, with only minor damage.

  • The UK plans to issue coronavirus 'immunity passports' so people can leave the lockdown early
    Business Insider

    The UK plans to issue coronavirus 'immunity passports' so people can leave the lockdown early

    Getty The UK plans to roll out "immunity passports" to allow people who have contracted COVID-19 to leave the lockdown early. UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock said the certificates would be issued to people who have built up immunity to the coronavirus so they can return to "normal life." Citizens would need to test positive in an antibody test before being issued with the certificates.