Betting: PGA Memorial Tournament Preview

Pamela Maldonado gives her top picks for the Memorial Tournament from Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio.

Video Transcript

PAMELA MALDONADO: It's a new week in the PGA for the Memorial Tournament, presented by Workday. I'm Pamela Maldonado, with my players to contend this week at the Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. It is a Par 72, over 7,500 yards, and a Jack Nicklaus design.

Looking at the top of the odds, you have Jon Rahm is a 10 to 1 favorite, who won this event back in 2020. And let's be real, unofficially won this event last year. He had a hole in one and a 2 stroke lead through 36 holes. Shot 8 under on day 3, to extend his lead to 6 through 54. But unfortunately, he had a positive COVID test and had to withdraw before the start of day four.

You then have Rory McIlroy and Cantlay who won this event in 2019, and also last year 2021. Followed by Collin Morikawa, who lost to Cantlay in the 2021 playoff. Followed by Jordan Spieth, rounding out the top five. Looking at the sets that I'm utilizing for this event, I'm heavily weighing iron play and aura around the green and scrambling. You can definitely use course history here because the PGA has been at this course every year since 1976. There has been some comparisons to that of Augusta, but you have to more so look at driving accuracy because if you miss the fairways, it is far more penal.

There are two players that I like to contend this week, starting first with Cam Young. Plus 175 for a top 20. 40 to 1 for a win. Now in the field, Young is top 10 in strokes gained ball striking, tee to green, and total. In his last three events, young has actually gained 7, 12, and 9 strokes ball striking. And he's actually gained around the green in seven of his nine events that he's played this season.

Now the one problem with Young, is that he's definitely part of team no putt. And in fact, bentgrass is actually his worst putting surface. However he still managed to finish tee two at the Wells Fargo, and took solo third at the PGA Championship, gaining two strokes putting. That would make three straight events, and finishing tee three, or better. Now this is a Young's tournament debut, but if he can hold on to that ball striking and continue on the upward trend with his putting, he can definitely contend.

The second player that I like is Matthew Fitzpatrick. Plus 130 for a top 20, 28 to 1 for a win. Looking at just 2022 season, Fitzpatrick has played in 10 events, has eight top 20 finishes, and 6 of which were in the top 10. Fitzpatrick is absolutely great off the tee and with this putting, of which he is fourth in strokes gained ball striking. Looking at how he is in the field, Fitzpatrick is fifth in strokes gained short game, 12th in strokes gained tee to green, and fourth in strokes gained total.

Now you have to really look at his data points in order to find something that's bad. I would say the one bad thing for Fitzpatrick is that he has zero wins on tour, and he does only have two runner up finishes, one of which came at T2 at the Wells Fargo. He did miss the cut here last year, but he did have a solo third in 2020. Fitzpatrick seems to be the top 20 machine. And I want to ride that train until the wheels fall off.

So those are two players that I like to contend this week at the Memorial Tournament, looking at Cameron Young and Matthew Fitzpatrick. You can buy an odds for both players and more at the Yahoo Sportsbook.

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