Biden Holds Onto National Lead in New Poll

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Emma Kinery
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(Bloomberg) -- Joe Biden is holding onto his lead among Democratic voters according to a national Monmouth University poll out Wednesday.

Among registered voters, Biden carried 30% followed by Bernie Sanders with 23% and Elizabeth Warren with 14% less than two weeks before the first voters weigh in. Patrick Murray, director of Monmouth University’s Polling Institute, says the national numbers have remained stagnant but there’s room for upset after the first caucus and primary.

Michael Bloomberg had 9%, followed by Pete Buttigieg with 6%, Amy Klobuchar with 5% and Andrew Yang with 3%. Since the last Monmouth University poll a month ago, Biden has risen 4 percentage points, Sanders 2 and Warren has dropped 3. Bloomberg is the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, the parent company of Bloomberg News.

“With the exception of Bloomberg’s entry, this race looks pretty much like it did six months ago,” Murray said. “But that stability masks the potential for sizable swings once the first contests are held. Iowa and New Hampshire will play a major role in shaping national voter preferences.”

A majority of Democrats, 56%, said these two states hold too much influence over the election. Only a quarter said they hold the right amount of influence. The poll was conducted from January 16 to 20 and has a margin of error of 5.1 percentage points.

National polling is less predictive of who will be the Democratic nominee at this point in the race. States vote individually over a period of months and the state of the race can change from contest to contest.

This post is part of Campaign Update, our live coverage from the 2020 campaign trail.

To contact the author of this story: Emma Kinery in Washington at ekinery@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Magan Sherzai at mcrane19@bloomberg.net, Wendy Benjaminson

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