BNP Paribas Open: American Jessica Pegula narrowly avoids Indian Wells upset

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Jessica Pegula, the top-ranked American at Indian Wells, narrowly avoided an upset to Russian Anastasia Potapova on Sunday at the BNP Paribas Open.

After losing the first set, the third-seeded Pegula lost her lead in the second set only to gain it back and then forge a third-set comeback inside a packed Stadium 2 at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden.

The 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 win came on a difficult day for Pegula, who after coming back to win the second set, lost her serve and went down a break in the third. With the crowd behind her, she still managed to rally back to advance in the draw.

The match was nearly a massive blow to the American’s hopes of winning a women’s singles title at Indian Wells for the first time since Serena Williams won 2001. Pegula is the highest-seeded American at Indian Wells since Williams in 2016.

Jessica Pegula of the United States reacts to a point lost to Anastasia Potapova of Russia during their round three match at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 12, 2023.
Jessica Pegula of the United States reacts to a point lost to Anastasia Potapova of Russia during their round three match at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 12, 2023.

Pegula will play the winner of Petra Kvitova of the Czech Republic versus Jelena Ostapenko of Latvia in the Round of 16.

"That was definitely a battle today," Pegula said. "I just felt like I started off a little slow. She had some confidence going, obviously going for a lot of her shots."

Having won a tournament last month in Linz, Austria, Potapova entered the match with what appeared to be a lot of confidence. She looked poised and did not back down from the challenge of facing Pegula.

Pegula, 29, couldn't quite find her rhythm in the match. She said her footwork was off and she had four different rackets with strings adjusted depending on the ever-changing conditions at Indian Wells.

Jessica Pegula reacts after defeating Anastasia Potapova during the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., on Sunday, March 12, 2023.
Jessica Pegula reacts after defeating Anastasia Potapova during the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

"I went through like four different racquet tensions this match, and I still wasn't happy with the one that I ended with," Pegula said. "That's an ongoing thing, especially here. Specifically here, the conditions, gosh, they change so much throughout the day."

After a bumpy start, Pegula shook her head and talked to herself during what appeared to be a frustrating first set. Following a break in play between sets, Pegula finally settled down. She managed to hold serve then went up a break to hold a 2-0 lead. The tide seemed to be turning.

But down 3-1, Potapova got a break of her own. Then, after Pegula secured another break, Potapova saved four game points to break Pegula back and then held serve to make it 4-4.

Jessica Pegula of the United States reacts to a point lost to Anastasia Potapova of Russia during their round three match at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 12, 2023.
Jessica Pegula of the United States reacts to a point lost to Anastasia Potapova of Russia during their round three match at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 12, 2023.

Pegula then held serve and broke Potapova a third time in the set to force a third set.

Potapova, 21, seemed to regain control of the match when she went up a break early in the third set. But neither player seemed to be able to hold their serve, and Pegula broke Potapova back and then held serve to take a 4-3 lead with those in the crowd on the edge of their seats.

Pegula and Potapova had played twice previously, with Pegula winning both matches. She beat Potapova in the second round of qualifying in Doha in 2021, then later that year beat Potapova in the first round of the U.S. Open.

Pegula made it 3-0 versus Potapova on Sunday, but it took some real fight to overcome the challenge and advance.

"Today I don't think I played as aggressive as I wanted to," Pegula said. "Also, I didn't feel comfortable playing aggressive because the ball felt like it was flying on me. I felt like I didn't have my footing and my footwork was a little bit off. So being able to win that not playing the way I want to play is still, I think, a positive."

Andrew John covers the BNP Paribas Open for The Desert Sun and the USA TODAY Network. Email him at andrew.john@desertsun.com.

Anastasia Potapova of Russia celebrates a point against Jessica Pegula of the United States during their round three match at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 12, 2023.
Anastasia Potapova of Russia celebrates a point against Jessica Pegula of the United States during their round three match at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 12, 2023.

This article originally appeared on Palm Springs Desert Sun: BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula narrowly avoids Indian Wells upset