Johnson Tells All U.K. Citizens to Stay Home in Virus Fight

Tim Ross and Kitty Donaldson

(Bloomberg) --

Prime Minister Boris Johnson urged the U.K. public to avoid all “non-essential” contact with other people in an effort to fight the fast-spreading coronavirus pandemic, as experts warned the country could see hundreds of thousands die.

Johnson warned that without “drastic action” potentially lasting for months, the rate of infections could double every five or six days. He said mass gatherings should not take place and called on everyone to work from home if they can. Finance minister Rishi Sunak will set out extra help for businesses affected by the virus crisis on Tuesday, officials said.

“Now is the time for everyone to stop non essential contact with others and to stop all unnecessary travel,” the prime minister said, as the U.K. death toll rose to 55. “We need people to start working from home where they possibly can. And you should avoid pubs, clubs, theaters and other such social venues.”

Johnson’s dramatic statement, at a press conference in London on Monday, followed criticism that he has been too slow to take aggressive action to tackle the virus.

On Monday, specialists at Imperial College London, who are advising the government on its response, presented a model suggesting 250,000 people would die from the new coronavirus in the U.K. unless ministers introduced radical new steps to limit public activities. Such action could reduce the overall death toll until a vaccine is developed, the study found. The “only viable strategy at the current time” is “suppression” of the epidemic, a move that carries “profound” social and economic implications, the researchers said.

Johnson and his ministers insist they have been guided by the best advice of scientists, but some experts and politicians had demanded firmer action sooner, and accused the government of gambling with people’s lives. Despite calls to close schools, Johnson said classes will remain open.

Officials accepted the package of so-called social-distancing measures will be very difficult for the public, but stressed the plan will make a difference to reducing deaths during the peak of the outbreak. The government is trying to protect the National Health Service from being overwhelmed by the scale of the outbreak. Official estimates suggest as many as eight million people in England could be hospitalized in a “reasonable” worst-case scenario.

Tough Measures

Under what Johnson said was a “draconian” new phase in his action plan:

If one person in a household has symptoms -- a new continuous cough, or a fever, or both -- the whole household should stay at home for 14 daysAnyone in a household with a suspected coronavirus case should not leave home, “even to buy food or essentials, other than for exercise, and in that case at a safe distance from others,” Johnson saidIndividuals living alone with symptoms should isolate for 7 daysPeople most at risk should be “shielded” from contact with others for 12 weeks, from this weekendLondon is at higher risk and residents should ensure they take the advice to avoid contact with othersFurther action, including school closures, may be needed in future

Johnson said staying away from others is particularly important for pregnant women, people over the age of 70 and those with health conditions that put them at greater risk.

The measures will be necessary for “a minimum of weeks or months” and it may be longer “if we are to minimize mortality,” Chris Whitty, the government’s Chief Medical Officer, said in the televised briefing. The public should realize fighting coronavirus is going to be “a marathon,” he said.

Business Test

The prime minister accepted the measures will be “a very considerable challenge for businesses big and small” and promised the government is doing all it can to ensure companies have the liquidity they need, including through relaxing the tax system. Sunak will announce further details on Tuesday.

Johnson said it is “perfectly obvious” the virus will deliver a “potentially severe blow” to the British economy, but “if we work together we can ensure it is a short term problem.”

Group of Seven leaders agree markets should have access to liquidity, Johnson said, in answer to a question on the need for a global fiscal stimulus. “If we do things jointly I think the global markets will understand we are all operating on the same fiscal framework,” he said.

(Adds academic modeling, details of support for business)

--With assistance from Olivia Konotey-Ahulu, Alex Morales and Robert Hutton.

To contact the reporters on this story: Tim Ross in London at tross54@bloomberg.net;Kitty Donaldson in London at kdonaldson1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Flavia Krause-Jackson at fjackson@bloomberg.net, Thomas Penny, Stuart Biggs

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