Butterfly effect’ – How the drone attack on Moscow could lead to dire consequences for Russia
While the Russian Defense Ministry claimed that eight UAVs were involved in the attack, social media networks reported more than a dozen, including one that was intercepted not far from Russia dictator Vladimir Putin’s residence.
Oleksiy Melnyk, co-director of foreign policy and international security studies at the Razumkov Center, explained Radio NV on May 30 how the “Butterfly Effect” may work out in Russia.
This is what he had to say:“The drone attacks that took place in Moscow itself will obviously once again strengthen one of the factors that provoke Russia to carry out terrorist actions, primarily in the Ukrainian capital city. This was shown again after the ‘Belgorod embarrassment.’
It’s necessary to show the Russian public again that there will be retaliatory strikes. The Kremlin believes this somehow calms the Russian population, especially as it now affects Moscow.
Unfortunately, Russians themselves seem to have not yet come to understand these cause-and-effect relationships: why Moscow is already under attack and to what extent attacks on Kyiv can increase the danger for the Russians themselves.
I watched the reports and discussions that were taking place on Russian social networks. The first thing that came to mind – the Soviet myth about the Aurora cruiser.
You remember that the shot from the Aurora cruiser, although it was a blank one, gave the signal for the assault to begin the (October – ed.) revolution. There was also a Soviet joke about the most powerful cannon in the world, because one blank shot from Aurora destroyed the entire Russian empire.
It’s like an anecdote, but there is a scientific theory about the ‘Butterfly Effect.’ U.S. scientist Edward Lorenz discovered the phenomenon: some minor impulse, as he said, the flutter of a butterfly’s wing somewhere in Brazil, can trigger a tornado in Texas.
So, even if minimal damage (was inflicted) (no casualties were reported) from the drone attack on Moscow, perhaps it will cause the processes or give the impetus that will launch the processes. This is not a fact, but the possibility exists.
In my opinion, the fact that a drone flew into a residential building and did not explode, but caused only a bang, maybe (indicates), most likely, that the goal was not to cause powerful explosions.
The very fact that so many drones could reach Moscow is already an extremely important contribution to the information and psychological warfare that is being waged in parallel with the hostilities.”
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