When Should You Buy Shui On Land Limited (HKG:272)?

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Shui On Land Limited (HKG:272), which is in the real estate business, and is based in China, maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the SEHK, with a relatively tight range of HK$1.53 to HK$1.66. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Shui On Land’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Shui On Land

Is Shui On Land still cheap?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 25%, trading at HK$1.64 compared to my intrinsic value of HK$1.31. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Shui On Land’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Shui On Land look like?

SEHK:272 Past and Future Earnings, November 30th 2019
SEHK:272 Past and Future Earnings, November 30th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 3.2% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Shui On Land, at least in the short term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in 272’s future outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe 272 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 272 for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Shui On Land. You can find everything you need to know about Shui On Land in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Shui On Land, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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