Some China VAST Industrial Urban Development (HKG:6166) Shareholders Are Down 12%

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the China VAST Industrial Urban Development Company Limited (HKG:6166) share price is down 12% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 3.2%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 7.8% in the last three years.

Check out our latest analysis for China VAST Industrial Urban Development

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Unfortunately China VAST Industrial Urban Development reported an EPS drop of 20% for the last year. The share price fall of 12% isn't as bad as the reduction in earnings per share. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have expected earnings to drop faster.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SEHK:6166 Past and Future Earnings, January 27th 2020
SEHK:6166 Past and Future Earnings, January 27th 2020

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China VAST Industrial Urban Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between China VAST Industrial Urban Development's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for China VAST Industrial Urban Development shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 8.5%, over the last year, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 3.2% in the last year, China VAST Industrial Urban Development shareholders lost 8.5%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 2.5%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China VAST Industrial Urban Development that you should be aware of.

China VAST Industrial Urban Development is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.