The Commish's gambling picks are in for Week 13 of the NFL season
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Week 12 was a rough one for sports bettors as tight lines throughout the league made it difficult to navigate the gambling landscape. Only three of the 15 games had a point spread greater than four points.
Favorites finished 7-8 against the spread. Through 180 games this season, underdogs now hold a 101-78-1 record against the spread.
One interesting storyline has been the saga involving the winless Detroit Lions. With their 2-point loss on Thanksgiving Day, the Lions dropped to 0-10-1 on the season. But they are now 7-4 against the spread and 8-3 against the point total. If you had taken the Lions, and the under, in each of their 11 games this season, you would have an incredible record of 15-7 in those wagers.
Last week’s picks
Two-team teaser
TITANS (+7) at Patriots - (LOSS)
UNDER (43.5) Titans at Patriots: (WIN)
COLTS (+3.5) vs. Buccaneers: The Colts were inept at protecting the football as they logged an inexcusable five turnovers. Buccaneers 38, Colts 31 - (LOSS)
CHARGERS (-2.5) at Broncos: Denver pulled off another upset on the back of their running game. Broncos 28, Chargers 13 - (LOSS)
Prop bet
OVER (103.5) Combined rushing and receiving yards by Dalvin Cook: This was the epitome of a bad beat: 39 rushing yards and 64 receiving yards for 103 total - (LOSS)
This week’s picks
Six-team moneyline parlay (+261)
BUCCANEERS, CARDINALS, COLTS, VIKINGS, RAMS, CHIEFS - With a ton of heavy favorites on the board this week, it’s time to put together an old-school moneyline parlay. Shop around to find the best juice available.
CARDINALS (-7) at Bears: The Cardinals are coming off a bye week and are finally getting close to being fully healthy. If Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are both ready to suit up, the Bears are going to have a difficult time. They are 4-7 against the spread this season while the Cardinals are 6-0 on the road against the spread. Rain is in the forecast and, frankly, that’s the only variable that can prevent a cover for Arizona.
UNDER (50.5) Chargers at Bengals: The Chargers are last in the NFL against the run. This will produce a game script built around Cincinnati running back Joe Mixon. Cincinnati is 2-4 at home against the total while the Chargers are 4-7 overall against the total. Look for the Bengals to eat plenty of clock and keep this total on the low side.
OVER (42.5) Patriots at Bills: The Patriots are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and have surged to take over the No. 2 seed in the AFC. This division battle is huge for both teams in terms of playoff seedings and earning a possible home playoff game. Look for the Bills to get hot early and force the Patriots to step outside their normal conservative game plan.
Prop bet
OVER (306.5) Combined passing and rushing yards by Lamar Jackson - Ravens at Steelers: Jackson has struggled in his last two games and is set up for a huge rebound in this AFC rivalry. Jackson has eclipsed this total in seven of his 10 games this season.
This article originally appeared on Evansville Courier & Press: The Commish's gambling picks are in for Week 13 of the NFL season