Disturbance over the southwest Caribbean has low chance of developing, hurricane forecasters say

Robin Webb, South Florida Sun Sentinel
·1 min read

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — A disturbance over the southwest Caribbean Sea is expected to move across Central America this week then emerge over the Gulf of Mexico.

National Hurricane Center forecasters say some slight development is possible through this weekend as it continues to trek northwest over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and close to Mexico’s east coast.

It has a 20% chance of developing, the National Hurricane Center said as of 8 a.m. Tuesday.

Despite the fact that there have only been three named storms so far this Atlantic hurricane season, experts still predict an above-average season.

Activity generally heats up as we enter the peak of the season, which generally runs mid-August through late October.

The latest prediction from NOAA experts was 14 to 20 named storms and six to 10 hurricanes this season — three to five of which are expected to be major hurricanes, which are Category 3 or higher.

The next named storm to form in the Atlantic would be called Danielle.

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