What Does ASM International NV's (AMS:ASM) Share Price Indicate?

In this article:

ASM International NV (AMS:ASM), which is in the semiconductor business, and is based in Netherlands, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ENXTAM, rising to highs of €125 and falling to the lows of €99.12. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ASM International's current trading price of €109 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ASM International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for ASM International

Is ASM International still cheap?

The stock is currently trading at €109 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 32% compared to my intrinsic value of €82.54. This means that the opportunity to buy ASM International at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since ASM International’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of ASM International look like?

ENXTAM:ASM Past and Future Earnings, February 28th 2020
ENXTAM:ASM Past and Future Earnings, February 28th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. ASM International’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ASM’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe ASM should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ASM for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ASM, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on ASM International. You can find everything you need to know about ASM International in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in ASM International, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

Advertisement