How Does Fourlis Holdings's (ATH:FOYRK) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Fourlis Holdings (ATH:FOYRK) shares are down a considerable 35% in the last month. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Fourlis Holdings

Does Fourlis Holdings Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Fourlis Holdings has a P/E ratio of 14.14. The image below shows that Fourlis Holdings has a P/E ratio that is roughly in line with the specialty retail industry average (14.1).

ATSE:FOYRK Price Estimation Relative to Market March 29th 2020
ATSE:FOYRK Price Estimation Relative to Market March 29th 2020

Its P/E ratio suggests that Fourlis Holdings shareholders think that in the future it will perform about the same as other companies in its industry classification. So if Fourlis Holdings actually outperforms its peers going forward, that should be a positive for the share price. Checking factors such as director buying and selling. could help you form your own view on if that will happen.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others -- and that may attract buyers.

Fourlis Holdings shrunk earnings per share by 17% over the last year. But EPS is up 25% over the last 3 years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting Fourlis Holdings's P/E?

Fourlis Holdings's net debt is 52% of its market cap. If you want to compare its P/E ratio to other companies, you should absolutely keep in mind it has significant borrowings.

The Verdict On Fourlis Holdings's P/E Ratio

Fourlis Holdings has a P/E of 14.1. That's higher than the average in its market, which is 11.9. With relatively high debt, and no earnings per share growth over twelve months, it's safe to say the market believes the company will improve its earnings growth in the future. Given Fourlis Holdings's P/E ratio has declined from 21.8 to 14.1 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Fourlis Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.