Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five battleground states before 2024 election, new polls says

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Former President Donald Trump led President Joe Biden in five battleground states in a hypothetical matchup ahead of the 2024 presidential election, according to a new poll.

Even a year before the 2024 presidential race, Trump has long been the frontrunner in the crowded field of White House hopefuls. And heading in to the election, Democrats are expected to throw their support behind Biden as the incumbent president seeking a second term in office.

But new polls from The New York Times and Siena College, published Sunday, found that Trump led Biden by 10 points in Nevada, six points in Georgia, five points in Arizona, five points in Michigan and four points in Pennsylvania.

Biden only defeated Trump in one of the swing states in the poll, Wisconsin, and he led Trump in the Badger State by just 2 points.

Here's what you need to know.

How did Trump, Biden compare?

Biden won each of the six battleground states listed in the poll in the 2020 presidential election.

But the survey showed that Biden’s popularity among groups of voters who supported his victory, such as voters under 30, appear to be declining.

Black voters registered 22% support in the six states for Trump. That's a base that’s rare for Republican presidential candidates in modern politics.

Voters, by a 59% to 37% margin, said they trusted Trump over Biden on the economy. That support spanned among genders and education and income levels, according to the poll.

However, survey participants said they trusted Biden over Trump on the debate surrounding abortion, an issue that Democrats used to garner victories across the country after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. That's the landmark decision that established the right to an abortion in the U.S.

What do other 2024 polls say?

Trump and Biden both commanded 37% of the vote in a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll released last month, with independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. costing Trump what would have been a narrow lead.

Kennedy, scion of the nation's most revered Democratic family, won 13% of the vote in a hypothetical match up, drawing voters who by 2-1 said they would otherwise support the probable Republican nominee.

Progressive activist Cornel West, who also plans an independent campaign, was at 4% in the poll last month. His supporters would break to Biden if he weren't on the ballot.

Carl Hickey, 85, a retired Methodist minister from Monkton, Maryland, told USA TODAY that he planned to vote for Biden but would consider a third-party candidate if the right one emerged.

"We've got to do something that's different," he said in a follow-up interview after being polled. "The division has to stop; we have to work together."

The survey from The New York Times and Siena College was conducted from Oct. 22 to Nov. 3, and it includes responses from 3,662 registered voters. The margin of sampling error for all of the states combined in plus or minus 1.8%. Among each state, the margin of sampling error is between 4.4 and 4.8 percentage points.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in 2024 battleground states: new poll