Don't Race Out To Buy Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited (HKG:950) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited (HKG:950) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. You will need to purchase shares before the 27th of May to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of June.

Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings's next dividend payment will be HK$0.038 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$0.056 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings has a trailing yield of 1.4% on the current share price of HK$3.92. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Fortunately Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings's payout ratio is modest, at just 26% of profit. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 153%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

While Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see how much of its profit Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

SEHK:950 Historical Dividend Yield May 22nd 2020
SEHK:950 Historical Dividend Yield May 22nd 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings's 9.8% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past ten years, Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings has increased its dividend at approximately 11% a year on average.

Final Takeaway

Is Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings worth buying for its dividend? It's disappointing to see earnings per share declining, and this would ordinarily be enough to discourage us from most dividend stocks, even though Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings is paying out less than half its income as dividends. However, it's also paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow, which makes us wonder just how sustainable the dividend really is. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

So if you're still interested in Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.