Erin Moran's Weather Update

Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect for much of North Texas until 11 p.m. Friday.

Video Transcript

- Erin Moran keeping an eye on some potential severe weather for us tonight. erin?

ERIN MORAN: Yeah, so what I think everyone has been noticing this afternoon is just how warm it's getting, especially out West where we're seeing more sunshine now. But some of our southern counties, especially into central Texas, are starting to notice these storm clouds developing.

What we've been talking about all day is a very strong cap in place. And in fact, the National Weather Service actually went ahead and set up two extra weather balloons today, just to check the strength of the cap. Well, around midday, it was still very strong, exactly what we were anticipating.

Once we got into the mid-afternoon timeframe, we started to see that the cap was lifting, and the cap was weakening some. And now we're starting to see these storm clouds develop from Clifton and Bosky County through Gatesville and Coryell County, and then into Lampasas County as well.

So the National Weather Service did go ahead and actually issue a severe thunderstorm watch for a good portion of north Texas. It's through 11 o'clock this evening. The main threats are going to be large hail and wind damage. Flooding threat is on the low side, just because, of course, we haven't seen a ton of rain so far for the month, and not expecting this to be a huge rain maker.

Tornado threat-- not as high as the wind damage and the large hail threat. We're still going to watch this closely over the next few hours, but right now, especially concentrating on that large hail and that wind damage.

So 5:00 to 8:00 PM, we're watching for those isolated storms with the dry line that we've been tracking all afternoon. And as the cap is breaking, we're already starting to see those storm clouds developing farther south. So this is something that we're going to have to watch closely, that 5:00 PM to 8:00 PM time frame.

Then, as we get into that 8:00 PM to 1:00 AM time frame, we've got a cold front that's going to swing through. We are expecting storms with this, I think especially to the east of I-35. That's where the rain and storm chances are a little bit higher.

Not everyone is going to see rain today. In fact, a lot of spots out west are probably not going to notice anything other than a big warmup and then a cooldown as we get into the weekend. But damaging winds up to 75 miles an hour, and hail potentially up to tennis-ball size, just depending on how strong these storms can get.

So this is what we're looking at. You've got this dry line moving in, and we're watching those storms in our southern counties. Dry line becomes less of an issue once we get past 8:00 PM, but that cold front is starting to move in. So you see those storms moving right along the front, moving especially through Collin County and parts of Dallas County, and then areas farther east as we get into that 9:00, 10:00 PM time frame.

So this is where we're watching for those wind gusts, maybe up to 75 miles an hour and some of that large hail as well. But this cold front does move through very quickly. Most of us are clearing out and drying out as we get towards midnight. We still have some of those storms approaching Palestine at that point. But cold front is well away from us once we get to tomorrow morning.

And then it's going to be a beautiful weekend. We've got sunny skies expected both days, and much drier air in place as well. Remember, the cold front and the dry line indicating the difference between that warm, moist air and the cooler, drier air. So you see those dew points drop from the 60s, what most of us are dealing with right now, into the 20s and 30s, which just sets us up for a fantastic weekend.

We've got sunny skies, a high of 75 on Saturday, a high of 85 on Sunday. Please enjoy it, because the clouds return on Monday, and then the rain chances start to pick up on Tuesday. Notice it gets a little bit cooler by midweek of next weekend.