After getting right with a 42-0 shutout over Vanderbilt last week, the Gators head to Baton Rouge for one of their toughest two remaining games against the LSU Tigers. This is an LSU squad that has lost its last two games and sits at just 3-3.
With coach Ed Orgeron’s job security very much in question, this game approaches “must-win” territory for the Tigers. But Florida is expected to win fairly comfortably despite only boasting two wins in Death Valley since 2003.
SP+ concurs. The analytics system from ESPN’s Bill Connelly projected that the Gators would cover a 10.5-point spread easily in this game, with a final score of 37-22. It gives UF an 81% chance to win. This would be a fairly high-scoring game, though it only matches the 59-point over/under.
If this scenario played out, it would be exactly the convincing road victory the Gators need heading into the bye week before the rivalry matchup against Georgia. They’ll hope that SP+ is onto something this week.
Here are the full SP+ score predictions for the week.
🔥😤 WEEK 7 SP+ PICKS 🤯🔓
Mich St 29, Indiana 22
Texas 29, OSU 26
Cincy 35, UCF 22
YALE 32, UCONN 23
Baylor 30, BYU 23
UGA 35, UK 15
Pitt 32, VT 24
Iowa 28, Purdue 17
Bama 32, Miss St 22
BC 29, NC St 26
Tenn 33, Ole Miss 29 (needs 40 more pts)
OU 37, TCU 27
Ariz St 27, Utah 25 pic.twitter.com/cOhhyI6VAC
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) October 13, 2021
ESPN thinks Florida-LSU is one of the 'biggest games' of the weekend
CBS Sports' Barrett Sallee predicts matchup between Florida and LSU
Take a look at Florida's uniform combination for the LSU game
Here's where USA TODAY Sports thinks the Gators are going bowling
ESPN's Football Power Index still likes the 4-2 Gators