Final score prediction: Here’s how SP+ sees Florida-LSU playing out

After getting right with a 42-0 shutout over Vanderbilt last week, the Gators head to Baton Rouge for one of their toughest two remaining games against the LSU Tigers. This is an LSU squad that has lost its last two games and sits at just 3-3.

With coach Ed Orgeron’s job security very much in question, this game approaches “must-win” territory for the Tigers. But Florida is expected to win fairly comfortably despite only boasting two wins in Death Valley since 2003.

SP+ concurs. The analytics system from ESPN’s Bill Connelly projected that the Gators would cover a 10.5-point spread easily in this game, with a final score of 37-22. It gives UF an 81% chance to win. This would be a fairly high-scoring game, though it only matches the 59-point over/under.

If this scenario played out, it would be exactly the convincing road victory the Gators need heading into the bye week before the rivalry matchup against Georgia. They’ll hope that SP+ is onto something this week.

Here are the full SP+ score predictions for the week.

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