RESULTS: First-term Democratic Rep. Colin Allred projected to win Texas' 32nd Congressional District

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First-term Rep. Colin Allred is projected to defend his seat against Republican Genevieve Collins and win Texas' 32nd Congressional District.

Polls started closing at 7 p.m. local time on Tuesday.

The candidates

Allred, the incumbent, is a former NFL football player. After four years with the Tennessee Titans, Allred retired, became an attorney, and worked as a special assistant in the Department of Housing and Urban Development's Office of General Counsel during the Obama Administration. In 2018, he defeated eight-term incumbent Pete Sessions to become the first Democrat to represent the district.

Collins, Allred's Republican challenger, is the head of corporate strategy at Istation, an education technology firm. Her campaign platform includes supporting America's allyship with Israel, creating term limits for Congress and elected officials, and preventing the implementation of socialized medicine.

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During the Democratic National Convention in August, Allred was named as a "rising star." He briefly spoke in a pre-recorded message at the convention, drawing criticism from Collins.

"The party is nervous about where he stands, that they want to give him more of a spotlight," Collins said in a conference call with the Trump presidential campaign. "This district is vulnerable, and Democrats and Colin Allred both know it."

The district

Texas' 32nd Congressional District is located in the northeast region of the state near the city of Dallas. The district is home to northeastern Dallas County and a small portion of Collin County. It was formed in 2003 when the state added two new districts following the 2000 US Census.

The 32nd District is one of many suburban Texas congressional districts that has become significantly more favorable to Democrats as suburban and college-educated voters turn away from the GOP under President Donald Trump.

While 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney easily carried the 32nd District by a margin of over 15 points, the district backed 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by a margin of two points four years ago, according to the Daily Kos. 

Allred defeated incumbent Republican Pete Sessions by over six points in 2018, and Democratic US Senate candidate Beto O'Rourke carried the district by a margin of over 10 points in his 2018 race against GOP Sen. Ted Cruz.

The money race

According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Allred has raised $5.2 million, spent $4.7 million, and has around $533,000 in cash on hand. Collins has brought in $5.1 million, including $1.6 million she's given or lent to her own campaign, has spent $4.8 million, and has around $270,507 in cash on hand.

What some of the experts say

The race between Allred and Collins is rated as "likely Democratic" by Inside Elections, The Cook Political Report, and Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

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