Forrester Research (NASDAQ:FORR) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Forrester Research, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Forrester Research

How Much Debt Does Forrester Research Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Forrester Research had debt of US$105.7m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from US$116.1m over a year. But on the other hand it also has US$125.6m in cash, leading to a US$19.9m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
debt-equity-history-analysis

How Strong Is Forrester Research's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Forrester Research had liabilities of US$284.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$187.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$125.6m in cash and US$68.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$277.1m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Forrester Research has a market capitalization of US$884.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Forrester Research boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Importantly, Forrester Research grew its EBIT by 34% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Forrester Research can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Forrester Research may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Forrester Research actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing up

While Forrester Research does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$19.9m. The cherry on top was that in converted 214% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$59m. So we don't think Forrester Research's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Forrester Research , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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