Futures File: U.S. boils, Europe bakes
Jul. 23—Last week began with reports of continued record temperatures in North America and much of Europe.
Great Britain's mercury topped 109 degrees Fahrenheit, causing hundreds of deaths, melting roads and airstrips and buckling railroad tracks. Wildfires torched over a million acres in France, Portugal, Spain and Italy. Scientists have attributed the heat and fires, as well as last week's floods in Germany, to global warming.
Temperatures over 100 were reported in most of the United States and threatened crops and cattle. Climatologists have described a positive feed-back loop in which the hotter it gets, the more people use air conditioners, which warms temperatures even more.
As of 1 p.m. Friday, October Cattle traded at $143 per hundred pounds, December cotton at $91 per 100 pounds, December corn at $5.62 per bushel and November soybeans at $13.13.
Putin releases gas
Russians allowed desperately needed natural gas to flow through pipelines into Germany, despite interruptions blamed on maintenance. Europeans fear Russian President Vladimir Putin will continue to weaponize his control of gas as winter approaches. Demand for natural gas to power air conditioners drove U.S. natural gas prices higher.
September natural gas traded at $8.30 per mm BTU, up over a dollar from last week.
Ukraine and Russia agree to grain deal
Concurrently, the United Nations brokered and agreed to sign an agreement between Turkey, Russia, and Ukraine that will allow desperately needed grain exports through the Black Sea. The release of millions of tons of wheat hammered wheat prices lower on Thursday and Friday. Wheat for September delivery traded at $7.55 per bushel on Friday, down a dollar from Wednesday's high.
Gold glitters as dollar declines
The "gold bugs," in hibernation for nearly two years, returned toward week's end. Thursday morning, gold made a new low but staged a reversal at the close.
Weakness in cyber currencies, record inflation rates and political problems in Europe stimulated safe haven buying. Gold for August delivery was going for $1,719 per 100 ounces.
Answer to last week's Commodity Quiz
In Roman mythology, Ceres, daughter of Saturn, was the goddess of grains or cereals.
In 1930, her 30-foot statue was erected atop the Chicago Board of Trade, identified to be the birthplace of modern commodity trading for the entire planet. Her statue on the tallest building in the city at the time, holds a bundle of wheat in one hand and a pouch of wheat in the other, depicting the thousands of years old practice of carrying and bartering with grain. "Y'all got some bread?"
Opinions are solely the writer's. Walt Breitinger is a commodity futures broker in Valparaiso, Ind. He can be reached at (800) 411-3888 or www.indianafutures.com. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell any market.
