THE FUTURIST: What's ahead for us in 2022? Glad you asked

·3 min read
David Houle
David Houle

Historically, January has been the month when I am asked to speak about what will happen in the new year. Obviously, people think that a futurist is exactly the right person to whom that question should be asked, and I have been doing so for more than a decade.

This is the second year I have published a mini-ebook with forecasts for the coming year. I am writing a series of books on the 2020s, the most disruptive decade in history (the2020sdecade.com). The idea was to break down the decade into years and publish forecasts along the way. Last year, this led to “2021: A Look Ahead – Acceleration / Collapse / Rebound.”

As I was writing my forecasts for 2022, I looked back at this mini-eBook from last year and realized that I had been about 80% accurate. The forecasts I got wrong stemmed from the fact that I did not see Jan. 6 happening, nor did I see the size and magnitude of the anti-vaxxer numbers.

I have just published “A Look Into 2022 – A Split Screen Year” (available again from Amazon for 99 cents).

I intentionally set this low price as I want as many people as possible to read the book. There is so much anxiety, fear and apprehension out in the world, I want as many people as possible to have a good context as to why things are happening and to get a sense of what is ahead.

In the book, I present the rationale and also note the trends and macro-dynamics that are the causes for the forecasts. I urge you to follow up the reading of the forecasts below with a look into the ebook for more detail.

What's coming in 2022?

Here are a few of the forecasts for 2022:

• The current 6% inflation rate will drop to 2% by late spring in the U.S.

• The equity markets will enter bear territory sometime this year.

• The explosive growth and appreciation of crypto currencies will greatly expand in 2022.

• The workplace has changed forever and will not return to anything resembling what was in place pre-COVID.

• The 2020s is the decade of increasing power to labor and employees. There will be much more evidence of this in 2022.

• Generational power shift will become even more pronounced in 2022.

• The price of oil will largely trade between $75 and $55 a barrel in 2022.

• 2022 will be an even bigger year for electric vehicles than the breakout year of 2021.

• The metaverse (the concept. not Facebook's umbrella company) is a big deal and that will become clear in 2022.

• Web 3 is coming and serious development and deployment will happen in 2022.

• Streaming has won in both audio and video.

• COVID-19 will play a significant role in 2022, particularly in the first quarter of the year.

• The United Nations Climate Change Conference in Egypt (COP27) should not be the total waste of time that COP26 was in Glasgow. Hopefully it will mark the end of 26 years of abject failure.

Please remember that my role here is to be accurate with forecasts. If I make a forecast, that does not necessarily mean that I support the causes or the outcome.

Please remember that times of massive and rapid change are also times of great opportunity. The big new industries of the 2030s and the technologies that will change our lives will be created in the coming years.

Look for opportunity and do not fear change, as change is the only constant in the universe. Resisting change will ultimately fail, and embracing change aligns one more with the universe. Start to understand and practice that in 2022.

Sarasota resident David Houle is a globally recognized futurist. He has given speeches on six continents, written seven books and is futurist in residence at the Ringling College of Art and Design. His website is davidhoule.com. Email him at david@davidhoule.com.

This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: DAVID HOULE: Massive and rapid change is a time of opportunity

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