By Alister Doyle OSLO (Reuters) - Before a summit on climate change in Paris next week, many governments are citing scientific studies indicating that their plans to curb greenhouse gas emissions until 2030 will come within 0.7 degrees Celsius of an agreed 2C (3.6 Fahrenheit) target for limiting global warming this century. Yet the studies they choose to quote are only the most optimistic of a range of projections, and presume that governments will go on to make even deeper emission cuts after 2030, which is far from certain. With no action, a U.N. scientific panel estimates that the global average surface temperature in 2100 will be around 4.8C (8.6F) above pre-industrial times, dramatically increasing the frequency of extreme weather events and raising the sea level. To avoid the worst of these effects, a ceiling of 2C has been agreed, and about 170 governments have submitted national plans before the Nov. 30-Dec. 11 summit to curb emissions from 2020-30. Keen to show their policies will work, many cite two estimates that the pledges so far could limit the rise to 2.7C (4.9F). U.S. Climate Envoy Todd Stern mentioned 2.7C in testimony to a Senate sub-committee last month, saying national policies marked "a powerful move in the right direction". Christiana Figueres, the head of the U.N. Climate Secretariat, summed up the national plans in a report last month by saying they "have the capability of limiting the forecast temperature rise to around 2.7 degrees Celsius by 2100". Yet Bill Hare, one of the scientists behind Climate Action Tracker (CAT), a group of four European institutes that first estimated 2.7C, said promises for action until 2030 "mark progress, but current policies are far from enough". He said the CAT estimate required all countries to continue deeper curbs on emissions right up to 2100 - far stricter than the assumptions by most other research institutes. The International Energy Agency also estimates an increase of 2.7C. But projections by at least 10 research groups range up to a rise of 3.7C (6.7F). Thomas Spencer, of the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations in France, noted that there were huge uncertainties in all projections beyond 2030: "It's like trying to predict the winner of a marathon after only the first 10 km." Bjorn Lomborg, head of the Copenhagen Consensus Center who won fame with his 2001 book "The Skeptical Environmentalist", reckons current national plans will only make a fraction of a degree of difference to warming this century. "It's like saying Greece is on track to solve its debt crisis after paying a first instalment of a loan," he said. This year is on track to be the warmest on record, already about 1.0C (1.8F) above pre-industrial times. Andrew Jones of U.S.-based experts Climate Interactive, which estimated with MIT Sloan that the existing pledges put the globe on track for 3.5C (6.3C) of warming by 2100, said 94 percent of the difference with CAT hinged on less optimistic projections about what happens after 2030. Climate Interactive reckons, for instance, that overall greenhouse gas emissions from China, the world's biggest emitter, will rise after 2030, while CAT says they will fall. (This story has been refiled to remove erroneous conversion of 2C in paragraph 4.) (Reporting By Alister Doyle; Editing by Kevin Liffey)
Trump resented having to sign letters for US troops killed in Afghanistan during his presidency because he didn't want to 'attach his name to a war he disliked,' a book says
"Aides were struck that he seemed rattled by the number of deaths involved," Maggie Haberman writes in her new book of Trump's view of Afghanistan.
Tom’s Teammate Announced He’s Retiring to Be a ‘Full-Time Dad & Husband’—Can Someone Check on Gisele?
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Lee is survived by her husband, wrestler Cory Weston, and their three young children.
"Gentrification Is Real": This Woman Says Neighbors Offered Her $800K For Her Grandfather's Multi-Million-Dollar Home
Keisha Credit inherited her grandfather's home in a multi-million-dollar neighborhood. However, shortly after his passing, she started receiving offers as low as $800,000. "That’s good money, but absolutely not. It's disrespectful and assumes I don’t know the value of my home," she said.View Entire Post ›
- The Daily Beast
Photo Illustration by Erin O’Flynn/The Daily BeastFirst, she stopped FBI special agents from even glancing at the classified documents they recovered from Mar-a-Lago. Then she appointed a special court referee that former President Donald Trump wanted to slow down the investigation over his mishandling of classified documents.But now, it’s clear District Court Judge Aileen Cannon already knew the Department of Justice was ready to hand Trump back a ton of personal records six days before she cla
The woman appeared to tell the Princess of Wales, "Ireland belongs to the Irish"
- The Daily Beast
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- The Daily Beast
George Rose/GettyAt least eight people were stabbed, two fatally, on the Las Vegas Strip on Thursday by a suspect wielding a large kitchen knife, witnesses and Nevada authorities said.The attack occurred around 11:45 a.m. near the Wynn hotel and casino, according to Las Vegas Metropolitan Police. The wounded victims, three of whom remain in critical condition, were brought to local hospitals.A suspect was taken into custody in front of The Venetian, a resort less than a mile away from the Wynn.
- The Daily Beast
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The National Motorsports Appeals Panel on Thursday amended the September penalty to NASCAR Cup Series driver William Byron for his intentional contact to Denny Hamlin under caution at Texas Motor Speedway, which sent the No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing driver spinning into the infield and out of the top five Byron, a two-time 2022 winner […]
A lot of thought went into this yellow dress (which yep, you can shop RN).
- USA TODAY
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- Business Insider
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- Rams Wire
Wagner is not amused by the streaker's action, and showed no remorse for his actions.
Not many people are buying this one.
Get ready for the 5 a.m. wake-up call.
- Men's Health
Keanu Reeves appeared on Jimmy Kimmel Live, spoke about his love of comics, and was asked which superhero he'd love to play in the Marvel Cinematic Universe.
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