If You Had Bought CGX Energy (CVE:OYL) Stock Three Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 166% Gain Today

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It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. To wit, the CGX Energy Inc. (CVE:OYL) share price has flown 166% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. It's also up 57% in about a month.

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Check out our latest analysis for CGX Energy

CGX Energy hasn't yet reported any revenue yet, so it's as much a business idea as an actual business. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that CGX Energy will discover or develop fossil fuel before too long.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Of course, if you time it right, high risk investments like this can really pay off, as CGX Energy investors might know.

Our data indicates that CGX Energy had US$56,472,552 more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in December 2018. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. So the fact that the stock is up 38% per year, over 3 years shows that high risks can lead to high rewards, sometimes. Investors must really like its potential. The image below shows how CGX Energy's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

TSXV:OYL Historical Debt, May 27th 2019
TSXV:OYL Historical Debt, May 27th 2019

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. If they are buying a significant amount of shares, that's certainly a good thing. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that CGX Energy has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 102% in the last twelve months. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But note: CGX Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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