If You Had Bought Diversified Gas & Oil (LON:DGOC) Shares A Year Ago You'd Have Made 36%

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Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the Diversified Gas & Oil PLC (LON:DGOC) share price is 36% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around -5.8% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! Note that businesses generally develop over the long term, so the returns over the last year might not reflect a long term trend.

Check out our latest analysis for Diversified Gas & Oil

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the last year Diversified Gas & Oil grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 128%. This EPS growth is significantly higher than the 36% increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Diversified Gas & Oil as it was before. This could be an opportunity. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 3.16.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

AIM:DGOC Past and Future Earnings, May 30th 2019
AIM:DGOC Past and Future Earnings, May 30th 2019

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Diversified Gas & Oil's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Diversified Gas & Oil's TSR for the last year was 47%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Diversified Gas & Oil shareholders should be happy with the total gain of 47% over the last twelve months, including dividends. And the share price momentum remains respectable, with a gain of 15% in the last three months. This suggests the company is continuing to win over new investors. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of Diversified Gas & Oil by clicking this link.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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