If You Had Bought Hotel Chocolat Group (LON:HOTC) Shares Three Years Ago You'd Have Made 63%

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Hotel Chocolat Group Plc (LON:HOTC) shareholders have seen the share price rise 63% over three years, well in excess of the market return (4.7%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 43% , including dividends .

Check out our latest analysis for Hotel Chocolat Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During three years of share price growth, Hotel Chocolat Group achieved compound earnings per share growth of 35% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 18% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

AIM:HOTC Past and Future Earnings, October 15th 2019
AIM:HOTC Past and Future Earnings, October 15th 2019

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Hotel Chocolat Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Hotel Chocolat Group rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 43% over the last year. That includes the value of the dividend. That gain actually surpasses the 18% TSR it generated (per year) over three years. These improved returns may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Is Hotel Chocolat Group cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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