High-stakes debate tests 2024 GOP

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Welcome to The Hill’s Campaign newsletter

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The Big Story 

Most Republican presidential candidates are making their way to California for tomorrow night’s second primary debate, as the window closes on overtaking Donald Trump

© Getty

SIMI VALLEY, Calif. – Republican presidential challengers will face each other on the debate stage for a second time on Wednesday, also with notable absences this time around. 

 

Former President Trump will be skipping the debate yet again, opting to address United Auto Worker members in Michigan. Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson did not make the stage this time, failing to meet the polling threshold needed to qualify.

 

The Hill’s Julia Manchester will be covering tomorrow’s debate from Simi Valley.

 

Here’s what you need to know:   

 

Who will be there: Participating in tomorrow night’s debate are Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Vice President Mike Pence, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum.  

 

More on who is set to be on stage here

 

What are the stakes: The debate presents another opportunity for the candidates to make their case in front of a national audience. Julia reports that the stakes are particularly high for DeSantis, who has yet to catch up to Trump in the polls, as some polls show Haley and Ramaswamy catching up to his second place spot.   

 

Haley, Ramaswamy and Pence will be able to build on what many called strong debate performances in Milwaukee, which led to increase interest. Christie will have the chance to show off his strong debate skills, while hitting directly at Trump. As for Burgum, this may be one of his last chances to sell his candidacy and vision to a national audience as he struggles to gain any traction in polling. 

 

How to watch:  

Time: 9pm ET/6pm PT 

Channel: Fox Business Network and Univision. The Republican National Committee will also stream the forum on Rumble.  

 Moderators: Fox News Media’s Dana Perino, Stuart Varney and Univision’s Ilia Calderón.  

 

And be sure to check The Hill’s media reporter Dominick Mastrangelo’s interview with Varney and Perino. 

Welcome to The Hill’s Campaign Report, we’re Caroline Vakil, Julia Manchester and Jared Gans. Each week we track the key stories you need to know to stay ahead of the 2024 election and who will set the agenda in Washington. 

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Essential Reads 

Key election stories and other recent campaign coverage:

Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.), the chairman of the Senate Democrats’ campaign arm, joined the growing chorus in the party who are calling for Sen. Bob Menendez’s (D-N.J.) resignation following his indictment on federal bribery and corruption charges. “As elected officials, the public entrusts us to serve in their best interests and in the best interests of our country,” Peters said in a statement on Tuesday. …

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Levi Strauss heir Daniel Lurie on Tuesday announced he’s challenging San Francisco Mayor London Breed for her seat in 2024.  “I am running for Mayor of San Francisco to bring a new era of leadership that this moment demands,” Lurie, a Democrat, said on X. He’s the heir to the Levi Strauss fortune and a prominent philanthropist in the Golden State. He said his experience watching his parents be part of Levi’s …

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Democratic strategist James Carville is warning his party that President Biden could lose to former President Trump in 2024. “Let’s say the election was November the third of this year. And they said the candidates are Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Joe Manchin and Larry Hogan No Labels and Cornel West. Trump would be a betting favorite. If I told you I would give you even money, you would not take …

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The Countdown 

Upcoming news themes and events we’re watching:

  • 1 day until the second GOP presidential debate

  • 18 days until Louisiana’s gubernatorial primary

  • 42 days until Kentucky and Mississippi’s gubernatorial generals

  • 406 days until the 2024 general election

Quote of the Week 

“I believe stepping down is best for those Senator Menendez has spent his life serving.”

— Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) on Menendez charges 

2024 Key Issues 

© AP Photo/Evan Vucci

President Biden and former President Trump are in general election mode.

 

On Tuesday, Biden joined UAW workers at the picket line in Wayne County, Michigan – the first modern president to do so. 

 

The show of solidarity marks the 12th day of the UAW strike against automakers. The move is on brand for the president, who has positioned himself as the most pro-union president in US history.  

 

On Wednesday, Trump will travel to Detroit, Michigan to speak with autoworkers. The move is not only an effort to counter program the GOP debate, but also to align himself with blue collar voters in swing states like Michigan. Trump notably flipped states like Michigan in 2016 through appealing to blue collar voters. However, Trump is not necessarily an ally to union workers, a voting block that tends to lean Democratic.

 

The Hill’s Hanna Trudo reports on how Biden is facing pressure to counter Trump on the auto strike.  

 

The UAW strike could have major impacts on the country, which in turn could shake up the presidential contest. Here’s more from The Hill’s Taylor Giorno on how the strike could impact the economy. 

In Other News 

Branch out with a different read from The Hill:

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New Jersey first lady Tammy Murphy is facing calls to run for Sen. Bob Menendez’s (D-N.J.) Senate seat in 2024, a person familiar with the discussions confirmed to The Hill.  The source told The Hill that if Murphy were to decide to run, they didn’t anticipate an announcement until after the 2023 legislative elections. The news was first reported by The New Jersey Globe. Menendez is facing a growing number …

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Voters say they trust Republicans more on the economy and Democrats more on health care and abortion, according to a poll released Tuesday.  In the NBC News national poll, the GOP had a 21-point advantage when voters were asked which party they trusted more to deal with the economy; 28 percent trusted the Democratic party and 49 percent trusted the Republican party. These figures are largely consistent with those from 2021 …

Around the Nation 

Local and state headlines regarding campaigns and elections:

  • Seeking breakout moment, GOP hopefuls head to Simi (Simi Valley Acorn)

  • What UAW’s Shawn Fain hasn’t talked about could provide focus for deal (Detroit Free Press)

  • ‘We are not going away’: Paxton whistleblowers vow to continue legal fight in court (Texas Tribune)

What We’re Reading 

Election news we’ve flagged from other outlets:

  • San Francisco Mayor Breed gets a major challenger. Inside Daniel Lurie’s plan to beat her (Politico)

  • To TikTok or not to TikTok? One GOP candidate joins the app even as he calls it ‘digital fentanyl’ (The Associated Press)

Elsewhere Today 

Key stories on The Hill right now:

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Senate negotiators on Tuesday unveiled a 79-page bill to fund the government until Nov. 17 in hopes of averting a shutdown when current funding expires this weekend.   Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) described the measure as a “bridge” to avoid a shutdown and give lawmakers more time to negotiate a longer-term funding … Read more

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A New York judge on Tuesday found former President Trump liable for fraud, handing a major legal victory to New York Attorney General Letitia James (D) in her sprawling civil case over Trump’s businesses. New York Supreme Court Judge Arthur Engoron granted James’s request to find Trump liable for the first of seven causes of … Read more

You’re all caught up. See you next time! 

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