Should You Invest in Nutrien (NTR)?

Miller/Howard Investments, an investment management firm, published its first quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. Miller/Howard’s Infrastructure Strategy remains well-positioned to capitalize on momentum toward value and income stocks. The strategy has a yield over twice that of the S&P 500 and is trading well-below the broader market’s EV/EBITDA. You can view the fund’s top 5 holdings to have a peek at their top bets for 2021.

Miller/Howard Investments, in its Q1 2021 investor letter, mentioned Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE: NTR), and shared their insights on the company. Nutrien Ltd. is a Saskatoon, Canada-based fertilizer company that currently has a $35.3 billion market capitalization. Since the beginning of the year, NTR delivered a 28.30% return, extending its 12-month gains to 70.69%. As of June 16, 2021, the stock closed at $61.79 per share.

Here is what Miller/Howard Investments has to say about Nutrien Ltd. in its Q1 2021 investor letter:

"For the most part, performance of the stocks within the Income-Equity Strategies was skewed towards the high-performing market sectors with two exceptions – our consumer discretionary and technology stocks both did better than their broad market peers... We bought Nutrien (NTR), a producer of fertilizer, which we believe should benefit from increasing crop prices."

Countries with the Highest Rates of Vegetarianism
Countries with the Highest Rates of Vegetarianism

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Our calculations show that Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE: NTR) does not belong in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As of the end of the first quarter of 2021, Nutrien Ltd. was in 33 hedge fund portfolios, compared to 25 funds in the fourth quarter of 2020. NTR delivered a 7.29% return in the past 3 months.

Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.