Lafayette Mayor-President race is close, according to poll responses
A poll among registered voters shows a close race in tomorrow's run off election between Mayor-President Josh Guillory and Monique Blanco Boulet.
The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA for KADN-TV and KLAF-TV, News 15 in Lafayette, shows former Acadiana Planning Commission CEO Monique Blanco Boulet ahead with 40%, incumbent Josh Guillory with 37% and 22% undecided.
SurveyUSA interviewed 501 adult respondents from Lafayette Parish from Nov. 10 to Nov. 14, and 400 were identified by SurveyUSA as being registered to vote.
Forty three percent of the voters were online panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans, and were shown the survey questions on their smartphone, laptop or tablet. Seventeen percent of voters were texted on their cell phones by live operators who linked them to an online survey. The remaining 40% of registered voters were interviewed on their landline telephones.
Among the smaller population of voters who have already cast their ballots, Boulet has a significant 21-point lead, with 58% to 37%. Among those who have not yet voted but who say they are certain to vote, the contest is tied at 42%.
Those voters who say they probably will vote, 17% of all registered voters, prefer Guillory by four points. Those who say their chances of voting are 50/50, just 6% of all registered voters, strongly prefer Guillory by 47%, compared to the 23% that prefer Boulet.
Boulet leads with Democrats by 54 points, Black voters by 31 points, senior citizens by 31 points and women by 10 points.
Boulet also leads by 72 points among Lafayette Parish voters who say they are liberal, and by 69 points among voters who say corruption is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote.
Guillory leads by 38 points among Republicans, five points among men, 52 points with the 13% of voters who say conservative values are their most important issue, 36 points among very conservative and 34 points among somewhat conservative voters. Nineteen percent of voters say the issue of jobs and economic development is most important in deciding how they will vote in this race, and those voters prefer Guillory by a 13-point margin.
Based on the poll results by net favorability, which is calculated by subtracting a candidate's unfavorable rating from their favorable rating, 50% have a favorable opinion (30% very favorable, 20% somewhat favorable) of Boulet, and 37% have an unfavorable opinion (21% somewhat unfavorable, 16% very unfavorable). That works out to a net favorability of +13.
Guillory, meanwhile, is viewed favorably by 44% (20% very favorable, 24% somewhat favorable) andunfavorably by 46% (18% somewhat unfavorable, 28% very unfavorable) – yielding a net favorability of -2 , 15 points below that of the challenger.
Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Saturday.
This article originally appeared on Lafayette Daily Advertiser: Lafayette Mayor-President race is close, according to poll responses
