Minty Bets & Jared Quay discuss the betting trends for the Notre Dame-Alabama and Ohio State-Clemson CFP Semifinals on New Year's Day.
MINTY BETS: Welcome back to Mad Bets, everyone. Minty Bets here with Jared Quay, and we're talking college football playoff betting trends. Now, let's start with the Rose Bowl, as Notre Dame and Alabama face off. Now, Alabama is a 20 point favorite. Total is at 65 and a half at the moment. Now, 71% of the spread is on 'Bama. 90% of the money is also on 'Bama. What do you think about this, Jared? Is 'Bama going to just, like, dominate?
JARED QUAY: I get the decision behind it. I mean, let's be honest. Betting on Alabama is the closest thing to investing in an Apple. It's pretty safe, OK? I think there's too much going on here. This is a playoff game. Notre Dame has one game that's focused and circled on, and I feel like they just got blown out last week. It's extremely hard to get blown out back to back weeks if you're a decent team.
So either you think Notre Dame is terrible-- but I just don't see-- even though Alabama is such a good team, they haven't run up their scores. With this much time, there's a lot more defense to be prepared. So even though all the money's on 'Bama, I think Notre Dame might be where you want to put your money at. Maybe buy a point to get them at 21.
MINTY BETS: I am all for it. I think 20 is such a large spread, and it's only, like, hiked up since then. Now moving on to the Sugar Bowl, as we have Clemson, a 7 and 1/2 point favorite against Ohio State. Total is at 66 and a half. Neither of these lines have moved much. 62% of the spread is on Ohio State, but 54% of the money on Clemson. Jared, what do we think of this?
JARED QUAY: I think it's exactly what it is. With it being such a close game, obviously, you're going to see more people take the plus money, even if you think it's going to be a close game. That, on top of the fact it's a hook with that 7 and 1/2, meaning they have to win by more than a touchdown. Obviously, if you want to make sure money, beating Clemson, who has been to this situation a lot, and they play well in big games, I see why people are betting that.
This is one of them games I really wouldn't touch because you never know. You never know. It's one of those games that could be that close. But even last year's game could have went another way if there wasn't a targeting call. So with that being the case, I just feel like I personally wouldn't touch it. But basing off the money, I think the safest bet you can get is plus money in a game you think is going to be a tight game.
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