Will Miami break a long-standing heat record this weekend? Forecaster makes a prediction
The winning number is 87.
That’s the temperature Miami will have to hit Friday or Saturday to break the record high for these dates set on Nov. 25, 1947, and Nov. 26, 1979, according to the National Weather Service in Miami.
On those dates temperatures hit 86 degrees.
The most likely outcome?
We tie. Again.
11/25/2022 - A few showers possible today, while warm temperatures can be expected this afternoon. #FLwx pic.twitter.com/f1dt3wzeor
— NWS Miami (@NWSMiami) November 25, 2022
Ana Torres-Vazquez, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Miami, is forecasting 86 for Friday and Saturday.
“The Miami area is looking like it’s been one of the hottest Novembers on record but we still have five days to go,” Torres-Vazquez said.
Brian McNoldy, senior research associate at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School, noted that Thanksgiving Day, Thursday, also tied a hottest afternoon temperature of 87 degrees, first noted in Miami on Nov. 24, 1962, and repeated on Nov. 24, 1989. That 87 figure is 7 degrees above average for the holiday, McNoldy said on Twitter.
#Thanksgiving 2022 was tied for the hottest afternoon high temperature in #Miami going back 60 years (and it becomes increasingly unlikely the further back you go). The high was 87°F, which is 7° above average for the holiday. The other year that tied this was 1989. pic.twitter.com/0MHQ1PSJtJ
— Brian McNoldy (@BMcNoldy) November 25, 2022
Beyond the warm and sticky temperatures “it’s going to be pretty quiet,” Torres-Vazquez said. “Right now our main concerns are still just potential for minor coastal flooding and rip currents in the Palm Beach County area. Overall, pretty benign weather patterns.”
The coastal flooding concern for Miami-Dade and Broward is through Saturday afternoon. Rip currents on Atlantic beaches extend into the weekend, too.
Rain is not in the forecast through next Thursday in South Florida and the Keys, with sunny skies and temperatures ranging from low- to mid-80s as highs and mid-70s lows.