This article will outline the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We’ll take a comprehensive look across the DFS industry to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
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We will be looking at the 11-game main afternoon slate starting at 1:05 ET.
Aaron Nola - Philadelphia (at Miami)
Make no mistake about it, Nola and Cleveland RHP Shane Bieber are the best overall pitching options on this slate. Nola checks in with a marginally cheaper salary (and better matchup) to get the nod in this spot. The Philadelphia righty had a rocky start to the season, but he has ironed out those wrinkles while returning to dominant form in late June. Nola has allowed just three earned runs and seven hits across 14 innings (14 K’s) over his last two starts, which is pretty impressive considering the level of competition (CHC & BOS). Today, he’ll square off against a lowly Miami offense in one of the best pitching environments in all of baseball.
Also Consider: Shane Bieber, Matt Boyd
CATCHER / FIRST BASE
Paul Goldschmidt - St. Louis (vs. Colorado)
Goldschmidt has been very streaky this season, and he could be warming his way to another heater with five hits (one homer) over his past three starts. Today’s draw against Colorado RHP Antonio Senzatela looks pretty good, especially when considering the Rockies’ pitcher has allowed 21 earned runs through 11 innings over his past three starts. Making matters even better, “Goldy” carries a sizable discount compared to high-end first basemen like Carlos Santana and Jose Abreu.
Cesar Hernandez - Philadelphia (at Miami)
Hernandez carries a moderate price despite racking up five hits, two doubles, and four runs over his past four games. He’ll have a great chance to keep thriving against Miami RHP Elieser Hernandez, who holds a .395 wOBA split to left-handed bats. The second base position doesn’t offer much in terms of bargain options, and Cesar provides a confident remedy to that problem.
The Astros check in with the highest run-scoring projection of this slate (we’ll get to that in a moment), but I’m not counting out the Angels’ offense either. Houston LHP Framber Valdez will be recalled from Triple-A to start this afternoon’s game. He has allowed 14 earned runs over his last 7.2 MLB innings, so I’m not counting out the LAA bats here. Fletcher will hold the platoon advantage while swinging a confident bat with seven hits over his last three games.
Alex Bregman - Houston (vs. LA Angels)
As mentioned in the previous write-up, the Astros are the highest projected offense of the day. That comes as no surprise considering the matchup against Angels’ RHP Jaime Barria, who carries a .380 career wOBA split to right-handed bats. That puts Yuli Gurriel, George Springer, and Jose Altuve on the DFS map, but Bregman is the fantasy pick I’m most excited about. You could look towards Jonathan Villar or Tim Anderson at shortstop if the salary doesn’t mesh, but Bregman could be worth every penny of his marked-up salary this afternoon.
Oscar Mercado - Cleveland (vs. Kansas City)
We’ll be looking to save some money in the outfield, and Mercado profiles as a strong mid-range pick to help with that strategy. He’ll hold a premium lineup spot as well as the platoon advantage over recent Triple-A call-up Eric Skoglund, who has a 5.18 career ERA in the big leagues. The fact that Cleveland holds the second-highest scoring projection of the day (behind Houston) doesn’t come as much of a surprise. Mercado is a solid pick within that.
Kevin Kiermaier - Tampa Bay (at Baltimore)
The Rays will continue to see a strong park shift in Baltimore, and the matchup isn’t too shabby either - facing Orioles’ RHP Dylan Bundy (.366 wOBA vs. LHB). Kiermaier is a strong lift to take advantage of that generosity, and teammate Austin Meadows ranks high on my list as well. The Rays were disappointing last night, but I’m willing to believe they’ll get back on track this afternoon.