Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the 15-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Merrill Kelly - Arizona (vs. Baltimore)
I’m a fan of Kelly, as he has proven himself capable of daily fantasy upside on several occasions this season. He’ll have an excellent chance to reward fantasy backers tonight while facing a rebuilding Baltimore offense that ranks 26th in wRC+ this year. Kelly steps in as a strong -170 home favorite as a result, profiling as a strong pitcher through all formats with an agreeable mid-range salary to boot.
If you recall, Walker was in this spot yesterday as a dirt-cheap bargain with upside. He didn’t have any luck (0-4) last night, but I’ll consider him in a similarly-good matchup tonight. Walker and company will see a park boost in Chicago while facing White Sox RHP Dylan Covey and his .365 wOBA split to left-handed bats. Walker is a switch-hitter who has been much better from the left side of the plate throughout his career. This is a favorable spot to prove that statement.
Brian Dozier - Washington (vs. Colorado)
Dozier is certainly a boom-or-bust option, but his homerun ability creates some tournament buzz. That especially holds true within a second base player pool that doesn’t usually offer cheap upside. Most people only look towards Dozier against left-handed pitching, but it’d be a mistake to dismiss him against Colorado RHP Peter Lambert (.358 wOBA split to RHB). The Nationals make for a viable stack this evening, and Dozier is a sneaky-good piece to that puzzle.
Logan Forsythe - Texas (at Seattle)
Forsythe doesn’t start every game, but I’m expecting him to be in the lineup against Mariners’ lefty Tommy Milone, who will serve as the bulk pitcher for Seattle. Milone holds a vulnerable .345 wOBA split to right-handed bats, and Forsythe is an economical platoon hitter who has slapped three homers over his last four starts.
Marcus Semien - Oakland (at Houston)
Semien serves as a less expensive pivot to the top-flight shortstops like Francisco Lindor, Alex Bregman, Fernando Tatis, and Trea Turner. The Oakland infielder has realistically similar upside, which has been on full display through the month of July. This is a reasonably good platoon matchup against Houston LHP Wade Miley, and you have to love Semien’s confident blend of power, contact, and DFS salary.
Reyes is your stereotypical tournament choice who will either blast a homer (maybe two) or finish 0-4 on the night. The same sentiment holds true for teammate Hunter Renfroe, who serves as a substitute fantasy recommendation if Reyes doesn’t crack the starting lineup. Both of them could flex their homerun hitting muscle tonight while holding the platoon advantage over Mets’ LHP Jason Vargas and his .341 wOBA split to righty bats.
The park factor in San Francisco is far from ideal, but the other factors of this matchup are promising. Yastrzemski has been surging with 15 hits and four homers over his last nine games, yet a lack of name recognition (while playing on a subpar offense) will keep the ownership down. Opposing RHP Yu Darvish carries a hittable .357 wOBA split to left-handed bats as well.